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BEST PRICE We back Brener over Ribovics · Lightweight Our fair value$3.16 Caesars pays above fair $3.20
Where to back Brener best price · region · EV vs fair $3.16
US Caesars $3.20 +1%
UK Betway $3.10 -2%
EU Pinnacle $3.18 +1%
AU SportsBet $3.14 -1%
Consensus27 picks · conf 51/99
Brener 9
18 Ribovics
MJMMAA pick Brener
How it endsmethod calls · Brener · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $6.32
Decision 2 $6.32
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brener 16-5 VS 15-2 Ribovics
5'10" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 69"
28 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 7.5
47% striking accuracy 48%
5.3 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
48% striking defence 57%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
23% takedown accuracy 66%
76% takedown defence 61%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market32% vs 31%
Consensus9 of 27 analysts
Sharpest angleBrener by KO/TKO — 2 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Brener @ $3.20 · fair $3.16 +1% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TG The Fight Guy picks Esteban Ribovics “I'm gonna go with Esteban Ribovics to win here. I think he's going to be the busier striker.”
MM MMAnomaly picks Esteban Ribovics “Give me Estabban Riick Bixs for this fight.” $1.36
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Elves Brener “But I think that Brener is a more powerful guy”
KP Knockout Picks picks Esteban Ribovics “I'm going to go with Estabbon here.” $1.35
LM Luminary MMA picks Elves Brener VALUE “I'm picking Brena.”
YO YoungPastey picks Esteban Ribovics “Esteban Ribovics money line... I do believe he gets it done... I think he gets the job done by decision.”
MP MCA PICKS picks Esteban Ribovics “Voy con Esteban Ribovics” $2.40
FF Fite Feed picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE “I am picking Estabbon Esteban Ribovics in this fight.”
MM Mayor MMA picks Elves Brener “I'm picking Espan Rubic.”
US Uselyis picks Esteban Ribovics “Give me Reeba Vix to get the job done.”
TH TheFinalRoundHQ picks Esteban Ribovics VALUE “my pick is Espan Revich”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Esteban Ribovics “The call has got to be Esteban Ribovics to win.” $1.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brener16-5
L Ribovics Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Álvarez KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Orolbai Decision · R3 May '24
W Kruschewsky KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Kutateladze KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
Ribovics15-2
L Gamrot Submission · R2 Apr '26
W Brener Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Haqparast Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Zellhuber Decision · R3 Sep '24
W McKinney KO/TKO · R1 May '24