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Estevam vs BunesPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Rodríguez vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Rosa vs CornolleMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Klein vs PulyaevPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Vieira vs GorePreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Nakamura vs FletcherPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Rębecki vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight
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Brener vs RibovicsMain Card · Lightweight
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Magny vs SantosMain Card · Welterweight
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Silva vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
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Bashi vs YannisPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Estevam vs BunesPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Rodríguez vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Bunes
over Estevam · Catchweight
Our fair value$6.92
Virgin Bet · UK
$5.80
Where to back Bunes
best price · region · EV vs fair $6.92
US
DraftKings
$6.75
-2%
UK
Virgin Bet
$5.80
-16%
Virgin Bet
$5.80
-16%
EU
Pinnacle
$7.00
+1%
AU
Neds
$6.20
-10%
How it endsmethod calls · Bunes · crowd line
Decision
1
$6.92
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Estevam 14-0
VS
14-8 Bunes
5'8"
height
5'7"
135 lb
weight
125 lb
69"
reach
69"
29
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
5.2
64%
striking accuracy
54%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
8.7
34%
striking defence
41%
3.4
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
19%
takedown accuracy
33%
0%
takedown defence
0%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market14% vs 14%
Consensus3 of 20 analysts
Sharpest angleBunes by Decision — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation
Back Bunes @ $7.00 · fair $6.92
+1% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
US
Uselyis picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“I think Rafael Estevam is going to win this fight. Give me Rafael Estevam by points at a plus 110. I like Rafael Estevam by decision.”
$1.19
TG
The Fight Guy picks Rafael Estevam
“I'm going to go with him to win this fight. I think he'll control all aspects. I think he'll find a finish. Probably a knockout win maybe in the second round.”
MM
MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Felipe Bunes VALUE
“I'm going to go with the underdog. I'm going to go with the upset here and I'm going to predict Felipe Bunes puts a zero on or puts a takes a zero from Rafa Esteban Ribovics”
KP
Knockout Picks picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“I'm going to pick Rafael Estevam.”
OZ
Ozzy picks Rafael Estevam
“I'm going with [ __ ] Rafa. ... yeah, I'mma go with uh Raphael Estan. I haven't been given [ __ ] uh decision decision and I'mma go with Felipe Bunes and Rafa Estan to also go to decision.”
LM
Luminary MMA picks Rafael Estevam
“I'm going to be picking Rafael Estabb here.”
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Rafael Estevam
“66 out of 69. Also for 96% go with Rafael Estevam.”
$1.19
RM
Rare MMA picks Rafael Estevam
“I think Rafael Estevam is just a better fighter, but I could see him dropping round one, picking up round two and three for a 2928 decision.”
MP
MCA PICKS picks Rafael Estevam
“tengo a Rafael Estevam”
FF
Fite Feed picks Rafael Estevam VALUE
“I am picking for this matchup is going to be Raphael Estee Vam.”
US
Uselyis picks Rafael Estevam
“Give me Rafael for the dub.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Estevam14-0
L
Ewing
Apr '26
W
Bunes
Aug '25
W
Aguilar
Feb '25
W
Johnson
Nov '23
Bunes14-8
L
Cháirez
Feb '26
L
Estevam
Aug '25
W
Johnson
Jan '25
L
Van
Jan '24