MMA Prophecy
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UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight DH BD Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight RF MR Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight TT TT Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight QS JM Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight JT BE Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CR CB Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight JM TF Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight JM OE Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight KO YZ Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight KS DF Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight KN SS Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight LL SU Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Volkanovski v Lopes Featherweight Our fair value $1.78 best price $1.73 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Volkanovski best price · region · EV vs fair $1.78
US Caesars $1.71 -4%
UK Paddy Power $1.73 -3%
EU Betsson $1.72 -3%
AU SportsBet $1.70 -4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.69
Consensus304 picks · conf 99/99
Volkanovski 169
135 Lopes
DUWHFM pick Volkanovski
How it endsmethod calls · Volkanovski · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $8.54
Decision 19 $2.25
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Volkanovski 27-4 VS 27-8 Lopes
5'6" height 5'11"
145 lb weight 146 lb
72" reach 72"
37 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
6.0 strikes landed / min 3.5
51% striking accuracy 58%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.2
57% striking defence 56%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
48% takedown accuracy 39%
70% takedown defence 52%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market56% vs 58%
Consensus169 of 304 analysts
Sharpest angleVolkanovski by Decision — 19 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM Crashout MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE “None”
CM Crashout MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “Van let's go sh Benoît Saint Denis beats Dan Hooker”
DF DFitMMA picks Diego Lopes “even though I picked Diego Lopes to win.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Alexander Volkanovski “I got to go with Alexander Volkanovski cuz he's a dog.”
FI FIGHTBLOODLINE picks Diego Lopes “He's going to go out there and knock out Alexander Volkanovski”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “I pick Vulcganoski again.”
AM Anchor MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE “I'm going with Alexander Vulcanoski to keep the flyweight strap”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE “I know Vog's going to win this fight ... I could see Vulcanoski getting caught with the same cross right down the middle that he did in the first fight”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE “I have Alexander Volkanovski by uh unanimous decision”
FI FightCircuit picks Diego Lopes “Diego Lopes his number”
BP Battle Cage Podcast picks Diego Lopes VALUE “My pick was Diego Lopes”
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Diego Lopes VALUE “Diego Lopes is going to finish Alexander Volkanovski by submission”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Volkanovski27-4
W Lopes Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Lopes Decision · R5 Apr '25
L Topuria KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Makhachev KO/TKO · R1 Oct '23
W Rodríguez KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
Lopes27-8
W Garcia KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Volkanovski Decision · R5 Feb '26
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Sep '25
L Volkanovski Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Ortega Decision · R3 Sep '24