Choose a fight to analyse
AV
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
DL
Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight
DH
BD
Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
RF
MR
Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
TT
TT
Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
QS
JM
Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight
JT
BE
Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CR
CB
Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
TF
Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
JM
OE
Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KO
YZ
Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KS
DF
Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KN
SS
Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
LL
SU
Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Szalay v Nakamura
Featherweight
Our fair value
$1.82
best price $1.77
PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Szalay
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.82
US
Bovada
$1.77
-2%
Bovada
$1.77
-2%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.76
-3%
Virgin Bet
$1.76
-3%
EU
Coolbet
$1.77
-2%
Coolbet
$1.77
-2%
AU
Unibet
$1.76
-3%
Unibet
$1.76
-3%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1000.00
How it endsmethod calls · Szalay · crowd line
KO/TKO
2
$9.99
Decision
9
$2.22
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nakamura 7-1
VS
10-1 Szalay
5'10"
height
5'6"
145 lb
weight
145 lb
70"
reach
66"
37
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
—
strikes landed / min
—
—
striking accuracy
—
—
strikes absorbed / min
—
—
striking defence
—
—
takedowns / 15 min
—
—
takedown accuracy
—
—
takedown defence
—
—
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market55% vs 56%
Consensus48 of 87 analysts
Sharpest angleSzalay by Decision — 9 of 11 method calls
Recommendation
Pass — no edge model agrees with the market
PASS
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CM
Crashout MMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura VALUE
“Keiichiro Nakamura against NOT_IN_ROSTER_15”
IE
IENJOYFIGHTS picks Keiichiro Nakamura VALUE
“He knocked down Nakamura in the second round... Nakamura was moving forward... put Sizzle out in the third round.”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Sebastian Szalay VALUE
“I'm going Sebastian Szalay on this one.”
FI
FightCircuit picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“MVP is going to knock out Keiichiro Nakamura in this one”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Sebastian Szalay
“And I've got uh Sebastian Szalay by decision.”
NI
Nick23mma picks Keiichiro Nakamura VALUE
“I'm going to go with Keiichiro Nakamura”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Sebastian Szalay
“I'll go Sebastian Szalay via Sebastian Szalay over Keiichiro Nakamura.”
MM
Minted MMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I chose um Keiichiro Nakamura. ... just feel like Keiichiro Nakamura is bigger than Sebastian Szalay”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I'm going for Keiichiro Nakamura. Keiichiro Nakamura is probably going to beat this guy here.”
CR
Chris Roman picks Sebastian Szalay
“I like Sebastian Szalay here.”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I am going to take Keiichiro Nakamura in this one. I'm going to take him by decision.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Keiichiro Nakamura
“I'm going with Keiichiro Nakamura with Keiichiro Nakamura to win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nakamura7-1
W
Szalay
Feb '26
Szalay10-1
L
Nakamura
Feb '26