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UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
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AV DL Volkanovski vs LopesMain Card · Featherweight DH BD Hooker vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight RF MR Fiziev vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight TT TT Tuivasa vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight QS JM Salkilld vs MullarkeyMain Card · Lightweight JT BE Tafa vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight CR CB Rowston vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight JM TF Malkoun vs FinneyPreliminary Card · Middleweight JM OE Micallef vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight KO YZ Ofli vs ZhaEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight KS DF Sang-wook vs FanEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight KN SS Nakamura vs SzalayEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight LL SU Lui vs SulangrangboEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Elekana over Tafa · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.37 LeoVegas (SE) pays above fair $1.43
Where to back Elekana best price · region · EV vs fair $1.37
US BetOnline.ag $1.40 +2%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.40 +2%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $1.43 +4%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.40 +2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.41
Consensus152 picks · conf 99/99
Tafa 29
123 Elekana
CPBMNA pick Tafa
How it endsmethod calls · Elekana · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $16.44
Submission 18 $1.83
Decision 4 $8.22
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tafa 7-5 VS 9-2 Elekana
6'3" height 6'3"
205 lb weight 205 lb
75" reach 78"
29 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.1 strikes landed / min —
62% striking accuracy —
4.6 strikes absorbed / min —
55% striking defence —
1.8 takedowns / 15 min —
49% takedown accuracy —
90% takedown defence —
1.3 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market73% vs 70%
Consensus123 of 152 analysts
Sharpest angleElekana by Submission — 18 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Elekana @ $1.43 · fair $1.37 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM Crashout MMA picks Junior Tafa VALUE “Junior Tafa looked the same way at his last he looked the same as his last fight against that NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 guy... He wobbled him, rocked him... but then he gets taken down and choke and he taps like chicken.”
FM Fight Capital Media picks Junior Tafa “Billy Elekana versus Junior Tafa. Well, Junior Tafa, I'm sorry, but he's versus Billy Elekana Elena, though he knocked him down, so good for him.”
AM Anchor MMA picks Billy Elekana VALUE “Junior Tafa is not winning this fight”
AM Anchor MMA picks Junior Tafa VALUE “Junior Tafa is not winning this fight”
KM Knuckles MMA picks Billy Elekana VALUE “I give it to Bailey Alakana by unanimous decision”
BP Battle Cage Podcast picks Billy Elekana VALUE “I'm going with Billy Elekana”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Billy Elekana “Still my pick Billy Elekana.”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Billy Elekana “think Billy Elekana over Junior Tafa”
CO CouchWarrior1 picks Billy Elekana “when he beats uh Junior Tafa, and he will beat Junior Tafa, he is probably going to win by uh uh he's probably going to TKO him.”
HO HotTakeCity picks Billy Elekana VALUE “I'm going Billy Elekana. Billy Elekana probably by second round knockout.”
HP Harold Porte picks Billy Elekana “Billy Elekana has more ways to win this fight I think Billy Elekana to win by”
MM MMA Milton picks Billy Elekana “And I'm going to go Billy Elekana”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tafa7-5
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Christian KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Elekana Submission · R2 Feb '26
L Tokkos Submission · R2 Jul '25
W Sharaf KO/TKO · R2 Oct '24
Elekana9-2
W Tafa Submission · R2 Feb '26
W Christian Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Aslan Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Guskov Submission · R2 Jan '25