MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
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MB VO Bautista vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight AA KH Albazi vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight JA RK Almeida vs KunievMain Card · Heavyweight MO MB Oleksiejczuk vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight JM FB Matsumoto vs BasharatMain Card · Bantamweight DJ JW Jacoby vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight AM DD Morono vs DonchenkoPreliminary Card · Welterweight BB KS Brasil vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight WC EM Cong vs MouraPreliminary Card · Catchweight MG JW Gafurov vs WikłaczPreliminary Card · Catchweight KS PC Syguła vs CachoeiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight NV NP Veretennikov vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight JB GV Basharat vs VázquezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Basharat v Matsumoto Bantamweight Our fair value $1.38 best price $1.36 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Basharat best price · region · EV vs fair $1.38
US DraftKings $1.34 -3%
UK Betway $1.36 -1%
EU Unibet (SE) $1.36 -1%
AU TAB $1.35 -2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.37
Consensus166 picks · conf 99/99
Matsumoto 44
122 Basharat
PTCGBB pick Matsumoto
How it endsmethod calls · Basharat · crowd line
Decision 20 $1.38
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Matsumoto 17-2 VS 14-0 Basharat
5'6" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 71"
26 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 4.0
40% striking accuracy 45%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
46% striking defence 64%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
27% takedown accuracy 33%
57% takedown defence 58%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market73% vs 74%
Consensus122 of 166 analysts
Sharpest angleBasharat by Decision — 20 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “Jean Matsumoto will win the fight”
MC McManusMMA picks Farid Basharat “I think Bos's going to get this one done again, bro.”
MM MmaTape picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
MM MmaTape picks Farid Basharat VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jean Matsumoto “I'm gonna pick Gene Masamoto.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Farid Basharat “so yeah, decision for Farid Basharat.”
MM MMAInstigator picks Farid Basharat “I'm picking Farid Basharat”
DS Danny Segura picks Farid Basharat VALUE “we're going to pick here uh for Farid Basharat to beat Jean Matsumoto.” $1.36
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Farid Basharat “So liking Farid Basharat by decision”
UF UFCharlesDoBronx picks Farid Basharat “I like Farid Basharat in this fight.”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “I see Jean Matsumoto doing well in decision”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Farid Basharat “I'm gonna go Farid Basharat.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matsumoto17-2
W Almakhan Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Basharat Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Johns Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Font Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Katona Decision · R3 Oct '24
Basharat14-0
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Hugo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Lapilus Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Rodrigues Submission · R1 Sep '23