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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
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MB VO Bautista vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight AA KH Albazi vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight JA RK Almeida vs KunievMain Card · Heavyweight MO MB Oleksiejczuk vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight JM FB Matsumoto vs BasharatMain Card · Bantamweight DJ JW Jacoby vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight AM DD Morono vs DonchenkoPreliminary Card · Welterweight BB KS Brasil vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight WC EM Cong vs MouraPreliminary Card · Catchweight MG JW Gafurov vs WikłaczPreliminary Card · Catchweight KS PC Syguła vs CachoeiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight NV NP Veretennikov vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight JB GV Basharat vs VázquezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Jacoby over Walker · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.52 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.62
Where to back Jacoby best price · region · EV vs fair $1.52
US BetUS $1.61 +6%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.62 +7%
EU Pinnacle $1.62 +7%
AU Bet Right $1.61 +6%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.64
Consensus173 picks · conf 99/99
Jacoby 129
44 Walker
JMAPTF pick Jacoby
How it endsmethod calls · Jacoby · crowd line
KO/TKO 20 $1.82
Decision 4 $9.12
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Jacoby 22-9-1 VS 7-2 Walker
6'3" height 6'4"
204 lb weight 206 lb
76" reach 78"
38 age 26
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min —
65% striking accuracy —
2.4 strikes absorbed / min —
64% striking defence —
1.5 takedowns / 15 min —
38% takedown accuracy —
61% takedown defence —
1.5 submissions / 15 min —
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 62%
Consensus129 of 173 analysts
Sharpest angleJacoby by KO/TKO — 20 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Jacoby @ $1.62 · fair $1.52 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TE Teep_Muaythai picks Dustin Jacoby “Dustin Jacoby is not that terrible and I think he's going to finish him in round one.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Julius Walker VALUE “Julius Walker 7500.” $76.00
MC McManusMMA picks Dustin Jacoby “I think I'm going to say that this is going to go to decision.”
MM MmaTape picks Julius Walker VALUE
MM MmaTape picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Julius Walker “I'm picking Julius Walker by decision to ground him to ground and pound him to own him on the ground to beat the out of him.”
GM GLO MMA picks Dustin Jacoby “I'm gonna go ahead and pick Dustin Jacoby Dustin Jacoby Jacobe decision.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Julius Walker VALUE “Julius Walker can knock him out... I think it's going to be a close decision. So, which one of these eight grand people do you like? I mean, I think we got to play Batista. I think he's going to score for us.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Dustin Jacoby “I'm picking Dustin Jacoby.”
MM MMAInstigator picks Dustin Jacoby “I think Dustin Jacoby has enough the KO.”
DO DonDaDa02 picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I'm gonna go Dustin Jacoby... he has to win this fight. I think he wins this fight.”
TR TrueComboMMA picks Dustin Jacoby “Dustin Jacoby is one of my locks to the card. I genuinely think Dustin Jacoby is just going to get this by KO.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Jacoby22-9-1
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Menifield Decision · R3 Dec '23
Walker7-2
L Yakhyaev KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Jacoby KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Cerqueira Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Menifield Decision · R3 Feb '25