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UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
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JM CP Maddalena vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight BD QS Dariush vs SalkilldMain Card · Lightweight TE SE Elliott vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight SG BP Gaziev vs PeričićMain Card · Heavyweight TT LS Tuivasa vs SutherlandMain Card · Heavyweight CR RB Rowston vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight JT KC Tafa vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight JM GM Malkoun vs MeerschaertPreliminary Card · Catchweight CT VM Thicknesse vs MoralesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight BJ WS Johnston vs SchultzPreliminary Card · Middleweight JM TG Micallef vs GorimboPreliminary Card · Welterweight DF KS Fan vs SteelePreliminary Card · Lightweight MR OS Rahiki vs SchmidMain Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Mar Fan over Steele · Lightweight Our fair value$2.43 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $2.70
Where to back Mar Fan best price · region · EV vs fair $2.43
US BetMGM $2.35 -4%
UK Betway $2.30 -6%
EU Unibet (SE) $2.70 +11%
AU Ladbrokes AU $2.35 -4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.38
Consensus171 picks · conf 99/99
Mar Fan 79
92 Steele
TMRCCB pick Mar Fan
How it endsmethod calls · Mar Fan · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $32.86
Submission 2 $32.86
Decision 23 $2.86
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mar Fan 9-2 VS 7-1 Steele
5'11" height 5'9"
155 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 71"
26 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 5.3
— striking accuracy 40%
— strikes absorbed / min 5.3
— striking defence 60%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.0
— takedown accuracy 0%
— takedown defence 100%
— submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market41% vs 37%
Consensus79 of 171 analysts
Sharpest angleMar Fan by Decision — 23 of 27 method calls
Recommendation Back Mar Fan @ $2.70 · fair $2.43 +11% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GI GiulianoArgenti picks Dom Mar Fan “I'm going to take Dom Mar Fan because Kody Steele uh is one of these guys that debuted off the Contender Series... I just think Dom Mar Fan's a lot better.”
TP The MMA War Room Podcast picks Dom Mar Fan “give me Dom Mar Fan >> Yeah, I'm I'm gonna take Dom Mar Fan, too.”
TH ThatBettingDude picks Kody Steele “I really like the side of Kody Steele here... I think he can edge a decision victory.”
22 222MMA picks Kody Steele “I'm gonna go Kody Steele. I'm gonna go Kody Steele by first round submission... I'm going Kody Steele uh rear naked choke in round one.”
BP Beats Rhymes & Parlays picks Kody Steele “Give me Kody Steele.”
DR DRYWALL picks Kody Steele VALUE “Cody still is the pick.” $1.52
AC Anything Combat picks Kody Steele “I'm picking Kody Steele because I've seen his better.”
JN john newquist picks Dom Mar Fan “easy case for Dom Mar Fan to win it”
PH Philyflishow999 picks Dom Mar Fan VALUE “I see Dom Mar Fan getting a good win here and taking that plus 168 and cashing it to the bank.” $2.68
TI TITLE_TALKMMA picks Kody Steele “I'm going have to pick Kody Steele to get the victory.”
7L 7LukeMMA picks Kody Steele “I'm gonna go with Kody Steele here... I'm going with Cody Steel. I think probably a decision here.”
JM James Keller MMA picks Dom Mar Fan “I'm taking Dom Mar Fan by unanimous decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mar Fan9-2
L Steele Submission · R1 May '26
W Sang-wook Decision · R3 Feb '26
Steele7-1
W Fan Submission · R1 May '26
L Zhu Decision · R3 Feb '25