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UFC Freedom 250
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hokit v Lewis Heavyweight Our fair value $1.26 best price $1.25 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Hokit best price · region · EV vs fair $1.26
US FanDuel $1.25 -1%
UK Paddy Power $1.25 -1%
EU 1xBet $1.24 -2%
AU Bet Right $1.23 -2%
Consensus85 picks · conf 80/99
Hokit 67
18 Lewis
HMMTMM pick Hokit
How it endsmethod calls · Hokit · crowd line
KO/TKO 28 $1.44
Submission 1 $40.36
Decision 3 $13.45
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hokit 9-0 VS 29-13 Lewis
6'1" height 6'3"
233 lb weight 265 lb
74" reach 79"
28 age 41
Orthodox stance Orthodox
— strikes landed / min 2.5
— striking accuracy 50%
— strikes absorbed / min 2.5
— striking defence 40%
— takedowns / 15 min 0.6
— takedown accuracy 26%
— takedown defence 52%
— submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market79% vs 80%
Consensus67 of 85 analysts
Sharpest angleHokit by KO/TKO — 28 of 32 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM MMA Mikey picks Josh Hokit “I think Josh Hokit's going to win this fight though via TKO.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Hokit “I think Josh Hokit wins this fight in the very first round.”
FI FightBookMMA picks Josh Hokit “Josh Hokit TKO. Uh, I would say second or third round, man. late second or third round.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Josh Hokit “my pick here is Josh Hokit to take the win.”
MM Minted MMA picks Josh Hokit “I think he can get Derrick Lewis out in round one with a submission.”
MM Mind Of Moseefus picks Josh Hokit “I see Josh Hokit Josh Hokit winning that one.”
UF UFCharlesDoBronx picks Derrick Lewis “give me Derrick Derrick Lewis by first or second round KO”
KU Kunath picks Josh Hokit “Josh Hokit wins easily. Gets this fight to the ground. Wastes no time.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Josh Hokit “I think Josh Hokit is going to take him down and finish him probably by a ground and pound finish”
SS Sports Gambling Podcast - SGPN picks Derrick Lewis VALUE “this is another one I I love Derrick Lewis.” $4.10
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Hokit “everybody's on it for a reason. That's Josh Hokit by by knockout.” $1.95
RR Ry Rinehart picks Derrick Lewis “Oh, goodbye KO TKO. Round two is the side.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hokit9-0
W Lewis KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Blaydes Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Freeman KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
W Gimenis KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
Lewis29-13
L Hokit KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Cortes-Acosta KO/TKO · R2 Jan '26
W Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Nascimento KO/TKO · R3 May '24
L Almeida Decision · R5 Nov '23