MMA Prophecy
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UFC Freedom 250
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nickal v Daukaus Middleweight Our fair value $1.33 best price $1.33 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Nickal best price · region · EV vs fair $1.33
US FanDuel $1.32 -1%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.33 +0%
EU Coolbet $1.32 -1%
AU Unibet $1.30 -2%
Consensus88 picks · conf 81/99
Nickal 68
20 Daukaus
HMTHMM pick Nickal
How it endsmethod calls · Nickal · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $15.94
Submission 6 $7.97
Decision 27 $1.77
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nickal 8-1 VS 17-4 Daukaus
6'1" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 186 lb
76" reach 76"
30 age 33
Southpaw stance Southpaw
2.6 strikes landed / min 2.9
63% striking accuracy 60%
1.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
64% striking defence 59%
3.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
50% takedown accuracy 35%
0% takedown defence 88%
3.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market75% vs 75%
Consensus68 of 88 analysts
Sharpest angleNickal by Decision — 27 of 36 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MM MMA Mikey picks Bo Nickal “official pick is going to be Bo Nickal to win this fight via decision.” $1.35
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bo Nickal “The pick is Bo Nickal.”
FI FightBookMMA picks Kyle Daukaus “I'm going to go with Kyle Kyle Daukaus winning by decision.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Bo Nickal “my pick will be Bo Nickal to get the win.”
MM Minted MMA picks Bo Nickal “He's going to decisionate him, dog. He's going to decisionate this boy over the course of three rounds.”
MM Mind Of Moseefus picks Bo Nickal “I'm going to give this bone Bo Nickal a first round knockout. I think he's going to run through Kyle Daukaus.”
FL Flips.Corner picks Bo Nickal “Give me Bo Nickal Bo Nickal. I'm going to take Bo Nickal.”
MW MMA Fight Picks - Aaron Weinbaum picks Kyle Daukaus VALUE “I'm going Kyle Daukaus for the upset. Big underdog upset.”
KU Kunath picks Bo Nickal “I like Bo Nickal and I like Steve Garcia.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Bo Nickal “I think Bo Nickal Nichl probably wins by knockout in a ground and pound”
SS Sports Gambling Podcast - SGPN picks Bo Nickal VALUE “If you don't like him on the money line, I actually don't hate him by decision here.”
HL Heat Seekr Sports | NFL DFS PICKS, ADVICE, LINEUPS picks Bo Nickal “I'm going to say round one, take down and submission because the president's there and it's front of the White House lawn and that's what made him famous and popular, especially with the president. That's what I'm going to say.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nickal8-1
W Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Vieira KO/TKO · R3 Nov '25
L Ridder KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Craig Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Brundage Submission · R2 Apr '24
Daukaus17-4
L Nickal KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Meerschaert Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Pereira KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Anders KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22