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UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight VS AG Shevchenko vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight DL BO Lopes vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight ER DZ Ribovics vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight RR OO Rodríguez vs OsbourneMain Card · Flyweight ND IA Dumont vs AldanaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight IB MT Bahamondes vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight KS YJ Souza vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ÉC Van vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight RJ AQ Jr. vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE We back Rodríguez over Osbourne · Flyweight Our fair value$1.54 LiveScore Bet (EU) pays above fair $1.73
Where to back Rodríguez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.54
US FanDuel $1.61 +5%
UK Paddy Power $1.62 +6%
EU LiveScore Bet (EU) $1.73 +13%
AU BlueBet $1.64 +7%
Consensus29 picks · conf 53/99
Rodríguez 22
7 Osbourne
bJMTMU pick Rodríguez
How it endsmethod calls · Rodríguez · crowd line
Submission 8 $1.92
Decision 2 $7.68
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rodríguez 17-2 VS 13-9 Osbourne
5'6" height 5'7"
127 lb weight 135 lb
65" reach 73"
27 age 34
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.3
44% striking accuracy 40%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
46% striking defence 45%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
50% takedown accuracy 28%
64% takedown defence 63%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 58%
Consensus22 of 29 analysts
Sharpest angleRodríguez by Submission — 8 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Rodríguez @ $1.73 · fair $1.54 +13% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I'll take Ronaldo Rodríguez here”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I will give Ronaldo Rodríguez like Ode' Osbourne”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I'm going to go with Ronaldo Rodríguez there serin I'm going Ronaldo Rodríguez boys Ronaldo Rodríguez Ronaldo Rodríguez”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “Ronaldo Rodríguez are going to win my Ronaldo Rodríguez”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ode' Osbourne VALUE “I went with est R revix” $2.90
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ode' Osbourne “Jamaican Ode' Osbourne 32 wins by decision for Ode' Osbourne four”
IL IBG Live picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I'm going with Ronaldo Rodríguez bro you know what I'm saying I'm going with my brother man I'm going my big brother you know what I'm saying Ronaldo Rodríguez... I think I got Ronaldo Rodríguez like I said MMA math doesn't work you know what I'm saying I think I got Ronaldo Rodríguez by decision... Ronaldo Rodríguez is going to dominate Ode' Osbourne on the on the ground I think it's going to be pretty easy fight man I think uh it's not really uh much to discuss here cuz Ode' Osbourne is a [__] [__] fighter journeyman... easy fight man.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ronaldo Rodríguez VALUE “Ronaldo Rodríguez Rodríguez is on route to winning”
SP SportsLine picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “you can bet him by plus 350 by submission Ronaldo Rodríguez is a rear naked choke specialist” $4.50
WP We Want Picks picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “I do think Ronaldo Rodriguez wins his fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ronaldo Rodríguez “Ronaldo Rodríguez Ronaldo Rodríguez Rodríguez is the pick” $1.69
MD MMA Mic Drop picks Ode' Osbourne “going to go Ode' Osbourne by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rodríguez17-2
L Borjas Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Osbourne Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Bondar Submission · R2 Feb '24
Osbourne13-9
L Idiris Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Erceg Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Gurule KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Filho Submission · R1 Mar '24