MMA Prophecy
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UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight VS AG Shevchenko vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight DL BO Lopes vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight ER DZ Ribovics vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight RR OO Rodríguez vs OsbourneMain Card · Flyweight ND IA Dumont vs AldanaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight IB MT Bahamondes vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight KS YJ Souza vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ÉC Van vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight RJ AQ Jr. vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Aldana v Dumont Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value $1.95 best price $1.95 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Aldana best price · region · EV vs fair $1.95
US FanDuel $1.93 -1%
UK Paddy Power $1.90 -2%
EU Coolbet $1.95 0%
AU SportsBet $1.92 -2%
Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Dumont 10
12 Aldana
bRCMPH pick Dumont
How it endsmethod calls · Aldana · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $9.75
Decision 3 $3.25
None 1 $9.75
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dumont 13-2 VS 15-8 Aldana
5'7" height 5'9"
136 lb weight 136 lb
67" reach 69"
35 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 5.2
50% striking accuracy 39%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 6.6
65% striking defence 56%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.1
56% takedown accuracy 50%
72% takedown defence 77%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market51% vs 51%
Consensus12 of 22 analysts
Sharpest angleAldana by Decision — 3 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Irene Aldana “surely Irene Aldana is the first leg of my parlay I'm really Irene Aldana is the first leg”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Irene Aldana “my subscribers and I went with um iria Alana” $1.77
DR DRYWALL picks Irene Aldana “Irene Aldana is the clear her fourth best bet Irene Aldana money Irene Aldana minus three and a half on”
KU Kunath picks Irene Aldana VALUE “I think arena aldana is extremely sneaky this week and I think Yasmin how RI is extremely sneaky this week”
WP We Want Picks picks Norma Dumont VALUE “I think Norma is Big she's strong I think she wins this fight”
PR Premium-Picks picks Norma Dumont VALUE “give me Norma Dumont and something because I think she's going to use grappling because she has been”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Irene Aldana “give me Irene Aldana that's the pick”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Irene Aldana “give me Irene Sean O'Malleydana by decision” $1.91
FI FightOwl picks Norma Dumont VALUE “I fcy her to win and take that top five spot off her”
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Norma Dumont VALUE “I'm giving it to deont here by decision”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Irene Aldana “my subscribers and I went with Ira Alana”
HB Half The Battle picks Norma Dumont “we're gonna go with Norma Dumont here to grind this one out my friends” $1.91
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dumont13-2
L Edwards Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Vieira Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Aldana Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Randamie Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Chandler Decision · R3 Jul '23
Aldana15-8
L Dumont Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Rosa Decision · R3 Dec '23
L Nunes Decision · R5 Jun '23
W Chiasson KO/TKO · R3 Sep '22
W Kunitskaya KO/TKO · R1 Jul '21