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Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
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Plessis vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
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Pennington vs SilvaMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Magny vs MalottMain Card · Welterweight
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Curtis vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight
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Evloev vs AllenMain Card · Featherweight
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Armfield vs KatonaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Woodson vs JourdainPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Taveras vs SideyPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Robertson vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Patterson vs LainesseEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Jasudavicius vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Flick vs GordonEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
du Plessis v Strickland
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
du Plessis 23-3
VS
30-7 Strickland
6'1"
height
6'1"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
76"
reach
76"
32
age
35
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
5.8
53%
striking accuracy
47%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
58%
striking defence
58%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
45%
takedown accuracy
40%
50%
takedown defence
78%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
HB
Half The Battle picks Dricus du Plessis
“one lick for Sean Strickland two licks for Dricus du Plessis one two all right and new”
Half The Battle picks Dricus du Plessis
“one lick for Sean Strickland two licks for Dricus du Plessis one two all right and new”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Sean Strickland
“I've personally got um I've personally got Sean Strickland Strickland winning”
Leftlane MMA picks Sean Strickland
“I've personally got um I've personally got Sean Strickland Strickland winning”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean Strickland
“I like I like Sean Strickland here a good bit ... I'll take Sean Strickland here considering how aggressive Sean Strickland has”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean Strickland
“I like I like Sean Strickland here a good bit ... I'll take Sean Strickland here considering how aggressive Sean Strickland has”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 going with Ros on this I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 hoping uh d d playy gets it done and brings the back belt back home ... straight up decision is the most likely outcome for me after taking like the last three rounds or drus finishes them in the first two”
The Rambling Dad picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 going with Ros on this I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 hoping uh d d playy gets it done and brings the back belt back home ... straight up decision is the most likely outcome for me after taking like the last three rounds or drus finishes them in the first two”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Sean Strickland
“D Su plus would go with Sean Strickland yeah yes”
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Sean Strickland
“D Su plus would go with Sean Strickland yeah yes”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“my official pick is going to be Dricus du Plessis to places I don't think it goes the full distance um and yeah he wins for sure yes um yeah I'm I'm I'm picking Dricus du Plessis”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“my official pick is going to be Dricus du Plessis to places I don't think it goes the full distance um and yeah he wins for sure yes um yeah I'm I'm I'm picking Dricus du Plessis”
ST
Spazzz TV picks Sean Strickland
“we got Sean Strickland Woodson money line”
Spazzz TV picks Sean Strickland
“we got Sean Strickland Woodson money line”
HP
Heavy P picks Sean Strickland
“Sean Sean Stricklandrickland Sean Strickland”
Heavy P picks Sean Strickland
“Sean Sean Stricklandrickland Sean Strickland”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'm going to ever slightly ever so slightly lean to Dricus du Plessis to pull off the win here but those live lines if Dricus du Plessis's cardio starts to fall off it is going to be Sean Sean Strickland um that's going to be Sean Sean Strickland all day if the cardio starts to go an interesting prop if you like Dricus du Plessis uh let me look and see what what is Dricus du Plessis uh to to win by knockout what a I don't know that one could be pretty fun Dricus du Plessislic to win by knockout is 2 to one”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'm going to ever slightly ever so slightly lean to Dricus du Plessis to pull off the win here but those live lines if Dricus du Plessis's cardio starts to fall off it is going to be Sean Sean Strickland um that's going to be Sean Sean Strickland all day if the cardio starts to go an interesting prop if you like Dricus du Plessis uh let me look and see what what is Dricus du Plessis uh to to win by knockout what a I don't know that one could be pretty fun Dricus du Plessislic to win by knockout is 2 to one”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“Dricus du Plessis wins on Saturday”
MMA JOEY picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“Dricus du Plessis wins on Saturday”
CO
Covers picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'll take him minus 120 Dricus du Plessis in the main event”
$1.83
Covers picks Dricus du Plessis VALUE
“I'll take him minus 120 Dricus du Plessis in the main event”
$1.83
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Sean Strickland
“my pick is Sean Strickland”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Sean Strickland
“my pick is Sean Strickland”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
du Plessis23-3
L
Chimaev
Aug '25
W
Strickland
Feb '25
W
Adesanya
Aug '24
W
Strickland
Jan '24
W
Whittaker
Jul '23
Strickland30-7
W
Chimaev
May '26
W
Hernandez
Feb '26
L
Plessis
Feb '25
W
Costa
Jun '24
L
Plessis
Jan '24