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UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Evloev v Allen Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus67 picks · conf 75/99
Evloev 31
36 Allen
HMTDFA pick Evloev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Evloev 19-0 VS 20-4 Allen
5'7" height 5'8"
145 lb weight 145 lb
72" reach 70"
32 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.4 strikes landed / min 3.5
48% striking accuracy 41%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
61% striking defence 61%
4.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
46% takedown accuracy 47%
71% takedown defence 75%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Movsar Evloev “give me Movsar Evloev um but yeah give me Movsar Evloev here I think ... I am all over Movsar Evloev”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Arnold Allen VALUE “Arnold Allen to me man ... Arnold Allen should be the favorite in this one ... so go up against the prospect like Ms are get this win and get back in there like I say when you when you look at the start like I know stats don't mean everything on the night anything can go differently AR has that slight Edge in the advantage he's got seven wins by knockout and four wins by submission”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “if Arnold Allen was able to struggle against Max I mean Max is not the greatest Grappler um so if ever he was able to struggle with with Max um when it comes to grappling then obviously Movsar Evloev is going going to probably submit him so I will say oh my subscribers also picked um Movsar Evloev”
ST Spazzz TV picks Movsar Evloev “Movsar Evloev win my money line”
HP Heavy P picks Arnold Allen VALUE “Arnold Arnold Allen Arnold Allen as an underdog those are odds I like Movsar Evloev he's going to come in here be very heavy with the wrestling it's going to burn a lot of energy Arnold Allen wins”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Arnold Allen VALUE “if you're betting it I think the value is on Arnold Arnold Allen he talk about a puncher's chance absolutely he could” $2.54
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Movsar Evloev “so we have this interesting situation where you got Movsar Evloev who undefeated but he's coming off of a knee surgery um had the knee injury”
MA MattTalksMMA picks Arnold Allen “I have Arnold Allen”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Arnold Allen “I don't know about One fighter but I'll give you one matchup because it's Arnold Allen versus mosar ofv”
CZ Comedian Black Zeus picks Movsar Evloev “I will say Movsar Evloev”
WP We Want Picks picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “I think Movsar Evloev is worth $8,700 I think he wins this fight”
PN Picks Nation picks Movsar Evloev VALUE “I think mosar wins a pretty boring decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Evloev19-0
W Murphy Decision · R5 Mar '26
W Sterling Decision · R3 Dec '24
W Allen Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Lopes Decision · R3 May '23
W Ige Decision · R3 Jun '22
Allen20-4
W Costa Decision · R5 May '26
L Silva Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Chikadze Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Evloev Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Holloway Decision · R5 Apr '23