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UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Patterson v Lainesse Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus37 picks · conf 59/99
Patterson 15
22 Lainesse
MXUWLU pick Patterson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Patterson 14-2-1 VS 9-3 Lainesse
6'3" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 170 lb
78" reach 76"
30 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 2.2
57% striking accuracy 41%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
57% striking defence 58%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
31% takedown accuracy 28%
71% takedown defence 72%
1.9 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Yohan Lainesse “taking Yohan Lainesse”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Yohan Lainesse VALUE “Chris Curtis ctis when he was already doing pretty well considering he's only sort of just got into the EVENT_DETAILS recently um yeah ... I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 going to go with Chris Curtis”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Sam Patterson VALUE “s Sam Patterson is coming into this fight with a record of 10 and two ... my pick is going to be s Sam Patterson”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Yohan Lainesse VALUE “I picked Yohan Lainesse purely because I think he's un cleaner everywhere than Sam Patterson of course patteron has a high finish rate but I also think Yohan Lainesse has the ability to knock out patteron especially in his home country so I will say 70% Yohan Lainesse wins this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Yohan Lainesse VALUE “I think Johan wins”
OM Octagon Outcome MMA picks Yohan Lainesse “I'm going Yohan Lainesse”
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Sam Patterson VALUE “I like Sam Patterson man like him as an underdog too”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Yohan Lainesse “I'm going Sam Patterson I think gets back in the win column”
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Sam Patterson VALUE “I'm going Sam Patterson”
WI Weezy does it picks Sam Patterson “I took Sam Patterson in this one he was a tough winner 2022 uh I think he's going to come in here and win this fight”
KU Kunath picks Yohan Lainesse “for Lanes we've seen him consistently not show up”
KU Kunath picks Sam Patterson VALUE “I think that Sam Patterson has more ways to win this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Patterson14-2-1
L Page Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Waters KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Barlow KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
W Crosbie Submission · R1 Jul '24
W Lainesse Submission · R1 Jan '24
Lainesse9-3
L Patterson Submission · R1 Jan '24
L Malott Submission · R1 Feb '23
W Weeks Decision · R3 Sep '22
L Green KO/TKO · R2 Apr '22