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UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Curtis v Barriault Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus60 picks · conf 73/99
Curtis 44
16 Barriault
MPDFMT pick Curtis
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Curtis 32-12 VS 17-10 Barriault
5'10" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 185 lb
76" reach 74"
38 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 6.0
51% striking accuracy 47%
6.2 strikes absorbed / min 5.6
52% striking defence 52%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
0% takedown accuracy 25%
82% takedown defence 67%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Marc-André Barriault “I have to go Marc-André Barriault here for a what Marc-André Barriault is gonna do... I am also on Marc-André Barriault for every reason” $2.55
TD The Rambling Dad picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 yeah ... NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 going with jordane ... NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 going with Chris Curtis”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Chris Curtis VALUE “I still think Chris Curtis wins this one so I'll say um 70% the Chris Curtis is going to win this fight um especially with a lot of motivation”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Marc-André Barriault “Chris Chris Curtis versus Marc-André Barriault Striker Delight Chris Chris Curtis is - 185 um I don't really know what to do with this one”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Chris Curtis “I Le Chris Chris Curtis in this one just because I think he gets the better of Mark Andre Marc-André Barriault on the feet” $1.54
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Chris Curtis “Mariners fan lowkey baring night Chris Curtis Mark Andre I don't know if that's a banger”
BN Bo Nickal picks Chris Curtis “you think Chris Curtis is going to win yep”
WP We Want Picks picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE “I do think Mark Andre wins this fight”
PN Picks Nation picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE “I personally think he wins” $2.55
WI Weezy does it picks Chris Curtis “Chris Curtis I'm gonna take Chris Curtis as well”
SP Stranglers & Anglers MMA Podcast picks Chris Curtis “I don't see Chris Curtis losing I'll I'll say that now but I oh yeah yeah but I'm like but like we'll see what happens you know after hearing you kind of go with the uh or like you know especially you're a little bit I like maybe you're a little swayed by the odds as well”
SP Stranglers & Anglers MMA Podcast picks Marc-André Barriault VALUE “I'm kind of just looking at the money line of Barry all plus 165 I think uh I might take a shot at but you know Kurt you know man Curtis is good dude and he hits [__] hard it's just you know I I think I've said this before on this podcast I think he's really more of a 170 pounder” $2.65
Recent form last five, most recent first
Curtis32-12
L Orolbai Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Griffin Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Kopylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Allen Decision · R5 Apr '24
W Barriault Decision · R3 Jan '24
Barriault17-10
L Oleksiejczuk Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Stoltzfus KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Pyfer KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24