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Bautista vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
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Ankalaev vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Miller vs BenítezMain Card · Lightweight
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Bautista vs SimónMain Card · Bantamweight
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Ferreira vs HawesMain Card · Middleweight
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Cortes-Acosta vs ArlovskiMain Card · Heavyweight
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Parsons vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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McGhee vs BolañosPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Basharat vs LapilusPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Bautista v Simón
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bautista 16-3
VS
20-6 Simón
5'9"
height
—
135 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
33
age
33
Switch
stance
Orthodox
5.3
strikes landed / min
3.0
47%
striking accuracy
43%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
54%
striking defence
61%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
5.2
33%
takedown accuracy
44%
66%
takedown defence
75%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MM
Mainer MMA picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“we're going to go Ricky Simón NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 he's a really good wrestler he is has hard shots in his punches power in his punches NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 Batista he's not really a heavy hitter he's not super special on the ground but he's pretty decent everywhere but yeah going to go with Ricky Simón on this one”
Mainer MMA picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“we're going to go Ricky Simón NOT_IN_ROSTER_19 he's a really good wrestler he is has hard shots in his punches power in his punches NOT_IN_ROSTER_20 Batista he's not really a heavy hitter he's not super special on the ground but he's pretty decent everywhere but yeah going to go with Ricky Simón on this one”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Mario Bautista
“I go Mario Bautista here so yeah let's go Mario Bautista as well okay William going with Mario Bautista um going with Mario Bautista as are on Mario Bautista so hard going for Mario Bautista hard but Mario Bautista's Mario Bautista okay um gonna Ricky Simón that [ __ ] cost me400 quid loss he got there b Ricky Simón 20 Jordan um four to seven Ricky Simón and going with Ricky Simón here uh was that pck Ricky Simón over song You that's my it I like Ricky Simón but I'Nikolas Motta is um yeah I think uh Ricky Simón's far convince me Ricky Simón yeah I mean”
The Rambling Dad picks Mario Bautista
“I go Mario Bautista here so yeah let's go Mario Bautista as well okay William going with Mario Bautista um going with Mario Bautista as are on Mario Bautista so hard going for Mario Bautista hard but Mario Bautista's Mario Bautista okay um gonna Ricky Simón that [ __ ] cost me400 quid loss he got there b Ricky Simón 20 Jordan um four to seven Ricky Simón and going with Ricky Simón here uh was that pck Ricky Simón over song You that's my it I like Ricky Simón but I'Nikolas Motta is um yeah I think uh Ricky Simón's far convince me Ricky Simón yeah I mean”
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Ricky Simón
“I will still pick and predict Ricky Simón to get the win and maybe get up one spot in the top 15 of his division but I'm not sure next so Ricky Simón sorry Ricky Simón getting the win by decision”
TheGreyFaction picks Ricky Simón
“I will still pick and predict Ricky Simón to get the win and maybe get up one spot in the top 15 of his division but I'm not sure next so Ricky Simón sorry Ricky Simón getting the win by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“Ricky Simón's going to be the pick”
We Want Picks picks Ricky Simón VALUE
“Ricky Simón's going to be the pick”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Mario Bautista
“Matos Nicola taking on Manel Cape this one is a rematch they fought a few years ago and Nicola squeaked out a split decision win I don't think is going to go down that way this time”
$3.20
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Mario Bautista
“Matos Nicola taking on Manel Cape this one is a rematch they fought a few years ago and Nicola squeaked out a split decision win I don't think is going to go down that way this time”
$3.20
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I'm going to roll with Mario Mario Bautista at 7.6k”
$4.15
Mayo Media Network picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I'm going to roll with Mario Mario Bautista at 7.6k”
$4.15
FR
FIGHT REALM picks Mario Bautista
“damn gonna have to go with Mario Bautista on this one”
FIGHT REALM picks Mario Bautista
“damn gonna have to go with Mario Bautista on this one”
BR
Broom picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going Ricky Simón by TKO in the second round”
Broom picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going Ricky Simón by TKO in the second round”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I do think Batista is a more live dog than people will tell you”
$2.60
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Mario Bautista VALUE
“I do think Batista is a more live dog than people will tell you”
$2.60
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Mario Bautista
“I want to go Mario Bautista cuz far compared to Mario Bautista I will go with Mario Bautista Mario Bautista I I'll go Mario Bautista ... I got Mario Bautista ... I like Mario Bautista a money line”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Mario Bautista
“I want to go Mario Bautista cuz far compared to Mario Bautista I will go with Mario Bautista Mario Bautista I I'll go Mario Bautista ... I got Mario Bautista ... I like Mario Bautista a money line”
FR
FreakEasy_MMA picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going to give this win to Ricky Simón”
FreakEasy_MMA picks Ricky Simón
“I'm going to give this win to Ricky Simón”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bautista16-3
W
Oliveira
Feb '26
L
Nurmagomedov
Oct '25
W
Mix
Jun '25
W
Aldo
Oct '24
W
Simón
Jan '24
Simón20-6
L
Barcelos
Nov '25
W
Smotherman
Jun '25
W
Basharat
Feb '25
L
Oliveira
Jun '24
L
Bautista
Jan '24