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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Parsons v Semelsberger
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Parsons 11-5
VS
11-8 Semelsberger
5'11"
height
6'1"
171 lb
weight
171 lb
71"
reach
75"
30
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Switch
3.5
strikes landed / min
3.8
51%
striking accuracy
42%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
55%
striking defence
54%
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
36%
takedown accuracy
57%
71%
takedown defence
45%
2.4
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MM
Mainer MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I'm GNA take Matthew Semelsberger here I'm a fan of him he's heavy hitter likes to scrap a little bit sloppy but not too sloppy but yeah we're going NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 simburger by a third round knockout here we go”
Mainer MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I'm GNA take Matthew Semelsberger here I'm a fan of him he's heavy hitter likes to scrap a little bit sloppy but not too sloppy but yeah we're going NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 simburger by a third round knockout here we go”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Preston Parsons
“Preston Parsons coming Preston Parsons on this one Preston Parsons there easy is he G he going with Preston Parsons he gone with Preston Parsons yeah has everyone P Preston Parsons would be the underdog and I would have leaned towards Preston Parsons if Ducket uh we got Matthew Semelsberger versus we got Matthew Semelsberger 11 and six record um going with Matthew Semelsberger in this one um think Matthew Semelsberger's got a better chance at Matthew Semelsberger's never been subbed said Matthew Semelsberger's got the power in with Matthew Semelsberger the two JS versus the”
The Rambling Dad picks Preston Parsons
“Preston Parsons coming Preston Parsons on this one Preston Parsons there easy is he G he going with Preston Parsons he gone with Preston Parsons yeah has everyone P Preston Parsons would be the underdog and I would have leaned towards Preston Parsons if Ducket uh we got Matthew Semelsberger versus we got Matthew Semelsberger 11 and six record um going with Matthew Semelsberger in this one um think Matthew Semelsberger's got a better chance at Matthew Semelsberger's never been subbed said Matthew Semelsberger's got the power in with Matthew Semelsberger the two JS versus the”
WP
We Want Picks picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I do think Preston Parsons can win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I do think Preston Parsons can win this fight”
PN
Picks Nation picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I have a bet on Preston Preston Parsons at Underdog money I think he can survive an early storm and get this done”
$2.05
Picks Nation picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I have a bet on Preston Preston Parsons at Underdog money I think he can survive an early storm and get this done”
$2.05
FR
FIGHT REALM picks Preston Parsons
“I'm going to have to go with Preston Parsons here”
FIGHT REALM picks Preston Parsons
“I'm going to have to go with Preston Parsons here”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Matthew Semelsberger
“give me seberger I just think he's gonna be on the front foot going forward more volume”
$1.87
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Matthew Semelsberger
“give me seberger I just think he's gonna be on the front foot going forward more volume”
$1.87
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I'm going to pick uh Preston pressure Parsons uh to get the decision win here”
$1.95
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I'm going to pick uh Preston pressure Parsons uh to get the decision win here”
$1.95
MP
MMA Prophecies picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I'm gonna go with Matthew Semelsberger in that first round”
$1.77
MMA Prophecies picks Matthew Semelsberger
“I'm gonna go with Matthew Semelsberger in that first round”
$1.77
FR
FreakEasy_MMA picks Preston Parsons
“I'm definitely going going to go with him as my pick for this fight”
FreakEasy_MMA picks Preston Parsons
“I'm definitely going going to go with him as my pick for this fight”
MM
MMAnomaly picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I'm going with the Jedi”
MMAnomaly picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I'm going with the Jedi”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I'm going to go with Matthew Semelsberger semless bergger he has three years more experience”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“I'm going to go with Matthew Semelsberger semless bergger he has three years more experience”
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I'm going to go with Preston parsons”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Preston Parsons VALUE
“I'm going to go with Preston parsons”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Parsons11-5
L
Smith
Jan '25
L
Elliott
Jul '24
W
Semelsberger
Jan '24
L
Giles
Mar '23
W
Elder
Apr '22
Semelsberger11-8
L
Radtke
Nov '24
L
Parsons
Jan '24
L
Medić
Jul '23
L
Wells
Apr '23
W
Matthews
Dec '22