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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Ferreira v Hawes
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Ferreira 15-3
VS
12-6 Hawes
5'10"
height
6'0"
184 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
78"
33
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
5.3
50%
striking accuracy
59%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
52%
striking defence
55%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
16%
takedown accuracy
34%
53%
takedown defence
90%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'Nikolas Motta going to go with Brunno Ferreira for my Brunno Ferreira is 10 and coming off a two fight Los and Brunno Ferreira is Brunno Ferreira was a legend look how doing some [ __ ] um Brunno Ferreira favorite at 8 fight but Brunno Ferreira he's got that uh extra just catch him um Brunno Ferreira dangerous though uh Phil Hawes is fighting uh one with Phil Hawes 12 and five Phil Hawes is Underdog Phil Hawes Phil Hawes uh for this one I think he might I'Nikolas Motta going with Phil Hawes as”
The Rambling Dad picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'Nikolas Motta going to go with Brunno Ferreira for my Brunno Ferreira is 10 and coming off a two fight Los and Brunno Ferreira is Brunno Ferreira was a legend look how doing some [ __ ] um Brunno Ferreira favorite at 8 fight but Brunno Ferreira he's got that uh extra just catch him um Brunno Ferreira dangerous though uh Phil Hawes is fighting uh one with Phil Hawes 12 and five Phil Hawes is Underdog Phil Hawes Phil Hawes uh for this one I think he might I'Nikolas Motta going with Phil Hawes as”
CO
Covers picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE
“I'm going to another uh short favorite here looking at Brunno Ferreira uh taking on Phil Hawes minus 120 at bet 99 uh you look at you know I mentioned that I didn't think that Johnny Johnny Walker's quite as chinny as maybe people might suspect but H really is that chinny he's lost three of his last four fights all of those defeats coming by first round knockout and he's been getting knocked out cold those aren't TKO he's getting clocked uh you know that's the sort of thing that wears on your chin and now he's facing an extremely strong and powerful young guy in phara who heavy hands ton of aggression uh you know he's coming off a first round loss of his own it happens but that's also the first defeat of his career before that he had five straight wins by way of first round knockout also has a grappling background really dangerous BJJ ability and hos you know he HW has that wrestling background of his own but his grappling isn't on the same level so I i' like for Hera to win here either by knockout or by submission right now bet 9 doesn't have any method to win props on this fight he's just a minus 120 on the money line but I expect him to see him at close to plus money if you can get them inside the distance”
$1.83
Covers picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE
“I'm going to another uh short favorite here looking at Brunno Ferreira uh taking on Phil Hawes minus 120 at bet 99 uh you look at you know I mentioned that I didn't think that Johnny Johnny Walker's quite as chinny as maybe people might suspect but H really is that chinny he's lost three of his last four fights all of those defeats coming by first round knockout and he's been getting knocked out cold those aren't TKO he's getting clocked uh you know that's the sort of thing that wears on your chin and now he's facing an extremely strong and powerful young guy in phara who heavy hands ton of aggression uh you know he's coming off a first round loss of his own it happens but that's also the first defeat of his career before that he had five straight wins by way of first round knockout also has a grappling background really dangerous BJJ ability and hos you know he HW has that wrestling background of his own but his grappling isn't on the same level so I i' like for Hera to win here either by knockout or by submission right now bet 9 doesn't have any method to win props on this fight he's just a minus 120 on the money line but I expect him to see him at close to plus money if you can get them inside the distance”
$1.83
KU
Kunath picks Phil Hawes VALUE
“I think that Phil Hawes just has way more technique he's got way more tricks up his sleeve I think he's faster I think he's cleaner and I think that Phil Hawes can make it look easy this week”
Kunath picks Phil Hawes VALUE
“I think that Phil Hawes just has way more technique he's got way more tricks up his sleeve I think he's faster I think he's cleaner and I think that Phil Hawes can make it look easy this week”
TH
TheGreyFaction picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'm going to predict uh Brunno Ferreira to get the win Maybe by submission”
TheGreyFaction picks Brunno Ferreira
“I'm going to predict uh Brunno Ferreira to get the win Maybe by submission”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brunno Ferreira
“Brunno Ferreira is very good he's a heavy-handed guy”
We Want Picks picks Brunno Ferreira
“Brunno Ferreira is very good he's a heavy-handed guy”
KK
KOMBAT KINGS picks Phil Hawes
“I think he Gonna Knock Out Phil HS because H gets knocked out with the time”
KOMBAT KINGS picks Phil Hawes
“I think he Gonna Knock Out Phil HS because H gets knocked out with the time”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Phil Hawes
“he's going to give some problems to Phil Hawes”
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Phil Hawes
“he's going to give some problems to Phil Hawes”
RA
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE
“Brunno Ferreira Bruno yeah good move and Jim Miller oh this is a fun parl you guys it's gonna be a wow this is crazy you are you are playing with fire with this one this is a fire this is a fire playing parlay here Fred and I like it all three guys are favorites man”
Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Brunno Ferreira VALUE
“Brunno Ferreira Bruno yeah good move and Jim Miller oh this is a fun parl you guys it's gonna be a wow this is crazy you are you are playing with fire with this one this is a fire this is a fire playing parlay here Fred and I like it all three guys are favorites man”
FR
FIGHT REALM picks Brunno Ferreira
“goingon to have to go with Brunno Ferreira here the younger better fighter”
FIGHT REALM picks Brunno Ferreira
“goingon to have to go with Brunno Ferreira here the younger better fighter”
BR
Broom picks Phil Hawes
“Bruno fa by Cold KO uh second half of the first round”
Broom picks Phil Hawes
“Bruno fa by Cold KO uh second half of the first round”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Brunno Ferreira
“we've seen Bruno fetta drop or Rock uh Gregory Rodriguez um in the first round so we immediately saw his power”
$1.80
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Brunno Ferreira
“we've seen Bruno fetta drop or Rock uh Gregory Rodriguez um in the first round so we immediately saw his power”
$1.80
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Ferreira15-3
L
Aliskerov
Jun '26
L
Rodrigues
Mar '26
W
Vettori
Dec '25
W
McVey
Jul '25
W
Petrosyan
Mar '25
Hawes12-6
L
Ferreira
Jan '24
L
Aliskerov
May '23
L
Dolidze
Oct '22
W
Winn
Jun '22
L
Curtis
Nov '21