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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Chikadze v Caceres Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus29 picks · conf 53/99
Chikadze 16
13 Caceres
FJMMWM pick Chikadze
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Chikadze 15-4 VS 21-15 Caceres
6'0" height 5'10"
147 lb weight 145 lb
74" reach 74"
37 age 38
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.2
42% striking accuracy 49%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
61% striking defence 62%
0.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
33% takedown accuracy 68%
70% takedown defence 64%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MJ MMA JOEY picks Giga Chikadze “I had a 30-27 for Giga Chicago”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Alex Caceres VALUE “my dog of the week is going to be Alex Caceres at plus 200 he's a tricky style for anyone in this Division and especially for a guy that's inactive hasn't fought in a year and a half”
FI FightBookMMA picks Giga Chikadze VALUE “my brain says you know Chicago is probably going to win this fight”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Giga Chikadze “give me uh Giga as a fade I think he wins this fight actually”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Giga Chikadze “Giga Chikadze”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Alex Caceres “get your kids is going to be my pick here”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Alex Caceres VALUE “I do like Alex caceres to get the job done Plus 210” $3.10
WP We Want Picks picks Giga Chikadze “I do think geek is going to do whatever the hell he wants to do in this fight” $91.00
MM Maintenance Men MMA picks Giga Chikadze VALUE “I'm going casares”
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Alex Caceres VALUE “I like the underdog here” $3.05
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Giga Chikadze VALUE “I think uh Giga here getting the proper time off” $1.40
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Giga Chikadze “for me Giga Chikadze chikaze he's the better fighter I think we're gonna get a pretty one-sided decision here a 30-27”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Chikadze15-4
L Vallejos KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
L Onama Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Allen Decision · R3 Jul '24
W Caceres Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Kattar Decision · R5 Jan '22
Caceres21-15
L Woodson Decision · R3 May '24
L Chikadze Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Pineda Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Erosa KO/TKO · R1 Dec '22
L Yusuff Decision · R3 Mar '22