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Nakamura vs GarciaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Blanchfield vs SantosMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight
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Cortes-Acosta vs BrzeskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
GA
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Armfield vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Kenan vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Goff vs KinoshitaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Aldrich vs NaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Goff v Kinoshita
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Goff 9-3
VS
6-3 Kinoshita
—
height
6'0"
—
weight
170 lb
—
reach
71"
28
age
25
Switch
stance
Southpaw
8.6
strikes landed / min
4.7
46%
striking accuracy
50%
5.7
strikes absorbed / min
5.1
59%
striking defence
51%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
17%
takedown accuracy
0%
100%
takedown defence
50%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Yusaku Kinoshita
“spot with Yusaku Kinoshita I'll be picking him to win ... give me Yusaku Kinoshita to win”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Yusaku Kinoshita
“spot with Yusaku Kinoshita I'll be picking him to win ... give me Yusaku Kinoshita to win”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I think golf's definitely the play at plus money but this fight not to go the distance in my opinion is a for sure to lock”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I think golf's definitely the play at plus money but this fight not to go the distance in my opinion is a for sure to lock”
MM
Maintenance Men MMA picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I'm gonna go with usaku we're going with our guts”
Maintenance Men MMA picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I'm gonna go with usaku we're going with our guts”
TM
The Ten7 MMA picks Billy Goff
“I'm going with golf man I'm going 30 27 golf I just think the wrestling is going to be the difference”
The Ten7 MMA picks Billy Goff
“I'm going with golf man I'm going 30 27 golf I just think the wrestling is going to be the difference”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I'm going to be siding with who I believe is the cleanest dryer car and that is usaku Kenosha”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I'm going to be siding with who I believe is the cleanest dryer car and that is usaku Kenosha”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE
“I'm going to be taking Yusaku Kinoshita Kinoshita to get the job done here”
$1.71
Walk The Line MMA picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE
“I'm going to be taking Yusaku Kinoshita Kinoshita to get the job done here”
$1.71
MI
Mimekree picks Billy Goff
“Yusaku Kinoshita vs Billy Goff this is a meeting between two Contender series albums kinoshida is a character facing off against the wrestler making this an easy win for Billy Goff”
Mimekree picks Billy Goff
“Yusaku Kinoshita vs Billy Goff this is a meeting between two Contender series albums kinoshida is a character facing off against the wrestler making this an easy win for Billy Goff”
VP
VB MMA Picks picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE
“so let's let's go with the Japanese counter as they call them”
VB MMA Picks picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE
“so let's let's go with the Japanese counter as they call them”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE
“give me kinoshita just think he's gonna have a clean striking performance and uh probably Knock Out Billy golf somewhere in this fight early”
$1.79
Addicted2Combat picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE
“give me kinoshita just think he's gonna have a clean striking performance and uh probably Knock Out Billy golf somewhere in this fight early”
$1.79
PS
Plays & Fades Sports picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I am going to say yes we'll get to that in a second but what we have to worry about kinoshita is if he can't get him out of there golf will drown him... so for that reason I think it's going to be Billy Goff doing what Billy goth does and that's me running into a a nice counter early on the problem is I think Yusaku Kinoshita have finished his here”
Plays & Fades Sports picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I am going to say yes we'll get to that in a second but what we have to worry about kinoshita is if he can't get him out of there golf will drown him... so for that reason I think it's going to be Billy Goff doing what Billy goth does and that's me running into a a nice counter early on the problem is I think Yusaku Kinoshita have finished his here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Goff9-3
L
Waters
May '24
W
Kinoshita
Aug '23
Kinoshita6-3
L
Goff
Aug '23
L
Fugitt
Feb '23