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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nakamura v Garcia Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus18 picks · conf 40/99
Nakamura 15
3 Garcia
PBJHWU pick Nakamura
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nakamura 9-0 VS 10-5 Garcia
5'7" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 146 lb
69" reach 67"
31 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 2.0
54% striking accuracy 34%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
67% striking defence 48%
3.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
90% takedown accuracy 50%
100% takedown defence 50%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Rinya Nakamura “Rinya Nakamura by decision Fernie Garcia”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I'm going to have a lot of rinya Nakamura”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Rinya Nakamura “JJ Aldrich Rinya Nakamura”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Fernie Garcia “I'm gonna go with Rini Nakamura here”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I'm going with the list here I think he finishes this fight within the first five minutes”
WP We Want Picks picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I think Randy is going to get it done” $97.00
MM Maintenance Men MMA picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I'm gonna pick Rinya Nakamura”
TM The Ten7 MMA picks Fernie Garcia “he can win this fight any which way that he wants I think he's gonna do it on the feet”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Rinya Nakamura “give me rinyon Nakamura” $1.11
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Rinya Nakamura “I like Rinya Nakamura here” $1.12
MI Mimekree picks Rinya Nakamura “Rinya Rinya Nakamura vs Fernie Garcia Rinya Nakamura is the first road to the elk fighter in the UFC with the pedigree in wrestling and Power in his strikes I back him to beat the one-dimensional boxer and Fernie Fernie Garcia”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Rinya Nakamura “give me renya Nakamura nonetheless” $1.12
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nakamura9-0
W Fletcher KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Gafurov Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Vera Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Garcia Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Kazama KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Garcia10-5
L Amil KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Nakamura Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Hiestand Decision · R3 Nov '22
L Newson Decision · R3 May '22