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Nakamura vs GarciaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Tafa vs PorterMain Card · Heavyweight
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Cortes-Acosta vs BrzeskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Armfield vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Oleksiejczuk vs NjokuaniPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Kenan vs BedoyaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tafa v Porter
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tafa 7-5
VS
14-9 Porter
6'3"
height
6'0"
205 lb
weight
256 lb
75"
reach
75"
29
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.1
strikes landed / min
6.5
62%
striking accuracy
50%
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
6.3
55%
striking defence
51%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
49%
takedown accuracy
26%
90%
takedown defence
66%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Junior Tafa
“Junior Tafa gets a first round KO”
MMA JOEY picks Junior Tafa
“Junior Tafa gets a first round KO”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Junior Tafa
“so I'll be picking Junior Tafa here picking Junior Tafa here picking Junior Tafa here”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Junior Tafa
“so I'll be picking Junior Tafa here picking Junior Tafa here picking Junior Tafa here”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Parker Porter
“if Parker Porter wins it probably comes from grappling it probably comes from volume”
$2.22
Mayo Media Network picks Parker Porter
“if Parker Porter wins it probably comes from grappling it probably comes from volume”
$2.22
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“I think Junior taffa has early knockout upside”
$1.71
Mayo Media Network picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“I think Junior taffa has early knockout upside”
$1.71
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Parker Porter
“I'm gonna go with um Choi”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Parker Porter
“I'm gonna go with um Choi”
BP
Boxing MMA Picks picks Junior Tafa
“I'm gonna go with Junior tafo”
Boxing MMA Picks picks Junior Tafa
“I'm gonna go with Junior tafo”
2M
2MinutePredictions picks Junior Tafa
“junior top back I really think the top of family's just got a little bit of an edge over Parker Porter”
2MinutePredictions picks Junior Tafa
“junior top back I really think the top of family's just got a little bit of an edge over Parker Porter”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“give me the less here on significant strikes for junior tough”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Junior Tafa VALUE
“give me the less here on significant strikes for junior tough”
WP
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I think he wins this fight I think he stays in uh song's face I think he stays busy touches him up potentially even gets a finish so I like Rolanda bedoya to win”
$93.00
We Want Picks picks Parker Porter VALUE
“I think he wins this fight I think he stays in uh song's face I think he stays busy touches him up potentially even gets a finish so I like Rolanda bedoya to win”
$93.00
MM
Maintenance Men MMA picks Parker Porter VALUE
“yeah I'm going Parker Porter me too man Parker Porter has been looking pretty good lately”
Maintenance Men MMA picks Parker Porter VALUE
“yeah I'm going Parker Porter me too man Parker Porter has been looking pretty good lately”
TM
The Ten7 MMA picks Parker Porter
“I'm picking Parker Porter Parker Porter Porter I think I hate that and I respect it I think I hate it and I respect it if he can get this fight to the ground he will get the submission”
The Ten7 MMA picks Parker Porter
“I'm picking Parker Porter Parker Porter Porter I think I hate that and I respect it I think I hate it and I respect it if he can get this fight to the ground he will get the submission”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Parker Porter VALUE
“ever so reluctantly I will take that plus mounting flyer on Parker port”
$2.20
Mayo Media Network picks Parker Porter VALUE
“ever so reluctantly I will take that plus mounting flyer on Parker port”
$2.20
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tafa7-5
L
Baraniewski
Jun '26
W
Christian
May '26
L
Elekana
Feb '26
L
Tokkos
Jul '25
W
Sharaf
Oct '24
Porter14-9
L
Tafa
Aug '23
W
Smith
May '23
L
Tafa
Feb '23
L
Almeida
May '22
W
Baudot
Feb '22