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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Topuria v Emmett
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Topuria 17-0
VS
19-6 Emmett
5'7"
height
5'6"
155 lb
weight
146 lb
69"
reach
70"
29
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
5.9
54%
striking accuracy
58%
2.3
strikes absorbed / min
4.4
61%
striking defence
49%
2.3
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
57%
takedown accuracy
63%
84%
takedown defence
58%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Ilia Topuria
“I think Emma's pulling it out it's gonna be like I said it's a stack car like a lot of these fights these are not definitive picks other than that three-man parlay I put together”
$1.30
Totally Blitzed picks Ilia Topuria
“I think Emma's pulling it out it's gonna be like I said it's a stack car like a lot of these fights these are not definitive picks other than that three-man parlay I put together”
$1.30
TB
Totally Blitzed picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“I'm rocking with Emmett here mainly because if this is gonna be a five round fight I know Emma in the fourth and fifth round can still land as hard as he did in the first round”
$3.60
Totally Blitzed picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“I'm rocking with Emmett here mainly because if this is gonna be a five round fight I know Emma in the fourth and fifth round can still land as hard as he did in the first round”
$3.60
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“I'm picking toporia”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“I'm picking toporia”
WP
We Want Picks picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“tatsuro should win”
We Want Picks picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“tatsuro should win”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Josh Emmett
“UFC card which is EVENT_DETAILS Josh Josh Emmett versus Ilia Topuria”
Addicted2Combat picks Josh Emmett
“UFC card which is EVENT_DETAILS Josh Josh Emmett versus Ilia Topuria”
AD
Addicted2Combat picks Ilia Topuria
“most confident fighter is Ilia Topuria Randy Brown tetsuro Tyra Neil Magny Trevor Peak Gabriel Santos Justin Tafa Amanda hebas Jamall Emmers Brendan Allen zalgas Zuma gulaf Loik Radzhabov Cody Brundage and least confident pick is Jillian Robertson”
Addicted2Combat picks Ilia Topuria
“most confident fighter is Ilia Topuria Randy Brown tetsuro Tyra Neil Magny Trevor Peak Gabriel Santos Justin Tafa Amanda hebas Jamall Emmers Brendan Allen zalgas Zuma gulaf Loik Radzhabov Cody Brundage and least confident pick is Jillian Robertson”
CO
Covers picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“while I think Ilia Topuria should be the favorite I don't think he's going to steamroll Josh Emmett he's probably his toughest opponent to date Josh Emmett is a very durable fighter Amanda Ribas's got strong takedown defense as well so bet on this fight to go until at least the start of the second round”
Covers picks Ilia Topuria VALUE
“while I think Ilia Topuria should be the favorite I don't think he's going to steamroll Josh Emmett he's probably his toughest opponent to date Josh Emmett is a very durable fighter Amanda Ribas's got strong takedown defense as well so bet on this fight to go until at least the start of the second round”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“I'm gonna go Josh Emmett”
Santino DeFranco picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“I'm gonna go Josh Emmett”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Topuria17-0
L
Gaethje
Jun '26
W
Oliveira
Jun '25
W
Holloway
Oct '24
W
Volkanovski
Feb '24
W
Emmett
Jun '23
Emmett19-6
L
Vallejos
Mar '26
L
Zalal
Oct '25
L
Murphy
Apr '25
W
Mitchell
Dec '23
L
Topuria
Jun '23