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UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria
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IT JE Topuria vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight MB AR Barber vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AL JT Lane vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight DO GS Onama vs SantosMain Card · Featherweight BA BS Allen vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight NM PR Magny vs RowePreliminary Card · Welterweight RB WT Brown vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR LR Rębecki vs RadzhabovPreliminary Card · Catchweight TR GR Ricci vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ZZ Van vs ZhumagulovPreliminary Card · Flyweight CM TP Mariscal vs PeekPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ JE Jenkins vs EmmersPreliminary Card · Featherweight SD CB Dumas vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Onama v Santos Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus37 picks · conf 59/99
Onama 12
25 Santos
PMSTPS pick Onama
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Onama 13-2 VS 11-2 Santos
5'11" height 5'9"
146 lb weight 145 lb
74" reach 70"
32 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.6 strikes landed / min 4.7
50% striking accuracy 59%
5.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
52% striking defence 47%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 3.4
20% takedown accuracy 52%
52% takedown defence 85%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “I gotta pick him in this fight”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “I would say probably go sprinkle a little bit on that” $3.00
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks David Onama VALUE “Neil Maggie is going to be the pick”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “I'm gonna go with Gabriel Santos”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “I lean towards the Santo side because I think there's less variance when somebody has the wrestling upside and I do think he's going to come up with a sharp game plan just because of what we saw in his matchup against Murphy”
HP Heavy P picks Gabriel Santos “Gabriel Santos because I'm worried about David Onama's gas tank after that hellacious fight he just went through”
WP We Want Picks picks David Onama VALUE “I like David Onama at that heavy heavy discount”
HP Hack Check Podcast picks Gabriel Santos “I've gone with Gabriel Santos”
WP We Want Picks picks David Onama VALUE “I think Gabriel Santos wins this fight”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks David Onama VALUE “you're gonna have to learn to wrestle you want to kick my ass you're gonna have to learn to wrestle you're gonna have to learn how to do Jiu Jitsu and it's gonna take you more than a year”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Gabriel Santos “most confident fighter is Ilia Topuria Randy Brown tetsuro Tyra Neil Magny Trevor Peak Gabriel Santos Justin Tafa Amanda hebas Jamall Emmers Brendan Allen zalgas Zuma gulaf Loik Radzhabov Cody Brundage and least confident pick is Jillian Robertson”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Gabriel Santos VALUE “I like Santos here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Onama13-2
L Garcia KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Chikadze Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Romero Decision · R3 Nov '24
W Pearce Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Santos KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
Santos11-2
W Jenkins Submission · R3 Feb '25
W Zha Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Onama KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Murphy Decision · R3 Mar '23