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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mariscal v Peek
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mariscal 17-6
VS
9-3 Peek
5'7"
height
5'9"
146 lb
weight
155 lb
69"
reach
70"
33
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Switch
4.8
strikes landed / min
4.4
57%
striking accuracy
53%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.9
50%
striking defence
43%
3.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
39%
takedown accuracy
50%
72%
takedown defence
52%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Trevor Peek VALUE
“I'm going chepe like I'm feeding those Underdog and lock this week”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Trevor Peek VALUE
“I'm going chepe like I'm feeding those Underdog and lock this week”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“chape is the pick”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“chape is the pick”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“mariscal I think is the better fighter of these two but he's only taking this fight on about a week's notice he's coming up a weight class and he's not a massively big featherweight as is so he's going to be undersized here you see a little bit of a reach disadJoshua Vantage two inches shorter than Trevor Peek also you know you always wonder about the cardio and how prepared somebody is when they're taking a fight on one week's notice when Trevor Peek has been preparing for this for a long time all things being equal if these guys had equal training camps and mariscal was able to get up to this weight when he typically fights at featherweight and now he's going to be fighting at lightweight I would be picking mariscal fairly confidently in this fight”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“mariscal I think is the better fighter of these two but he's only taking this fight on about a week's notice he's coming up a weight class and he's not a massively big featherweight as is so he's going to be undersized here you see a little bit of a reach disadJoshua Vantage two inches shorter than Trevor Peek also you know you always wonder about the cardio and how prepared somebody is when they're taking a fight on one week's notice when Trevor Peek has been preparing for this for a long time all things being equal if these guys had equal training camps and mariscal was able to get up to this weight when he typically fights at featherweight and now he's going to be fighting at lightweight I would be picking mariscal fairly confidently in this fight”
HP
Heavy P picks Trevor Peek
“Trevor Peek a slobber knocker Alexander gulov to win over the kid making his debut”
Heavy P picks Trevor Peek
“Trevor Peek a slobber knocker Alexander gulov to win over the kid making his debut”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I like chappie to get this done”
We Want Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I like chappie to get this done”
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Trevor Peek VALUE
“give me a peek I'll be heavy on him”
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Trevor Peek VALUE
“give me a peek I'll be heavy on him”
MM
Martian MMA picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I think Tyra will eventually get the fight to the floor um probably get a back take this guy is so crafty with his back takes and um you know uh Rodriguez he I was watching the fight against Vergara he almost like backflipped out of a back take at one point though because Vergara had his back and the way he reversed it was just incredible so this is going to have a lot of fun scrambles it's gonna be a really good fight um Tyra plus 155 on sub is is sort of tempting because I just think he's gonna relentlessly pursue the takedowns here and the back takes will be there he could wrap up that sub at any moment but I'm interested to see this one it's a it's a good step up for for Tyra here uh cleatson is a good fighter uh very good striking and I'm just interested in this one all around so I can't wait to see to see this fight”
Martian MMA picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I think Tyra will eventually get the fight to the floor um probably get a back take this guy is so crafty with his back takes and um you know uh Rodriguez he I was watching the fight against Vergara he almost like backflipped out of a back take at one point though because Vergara had his back and the way he reversed it was just incredible so this is going to have a lot of fun scrambles it's gonna be a really good fight um Tyra plus 155 on sub is is sort of tempting because I just think he's gonna relentlessly pursue the takedowns here and the back takes will be there he could wrap up that sub at any moment but I'm interested to see this one it's a it's a good step up for for Tyra here uh cleatson is a good fighter uh very good striking and I'm just interested in this one all around so I can't wait to see to see this fight”
MM
Martian MMA picks Trevor Peek VALUE
“I'm on Trevor peak in this spot uh I I have uh minus 110 which is you know a little bit worse than what the odds are out there now but um yeah just like Ozzie said mariscal's success here if he's winning the fight I think it's going to be heavily based in the grappling if this fight stays standing mariscal is probably a better technical Striker but I mean Peak is bigger he's the much more natural 155 or the guy clearly hits hard even though his striking uh technique is whack the guy finds a way to land bombs and when he does guys go down so um if mariscal is winning he's going to have to come out and just shoot non-stop takedowns and he could do that but if you watch his career uh the guy kind of enjoys brawling he kind of Embraces uh High variance fights and he does pretty well in them but he does well on them against 135 or 145ers and I just think that a peak is a little bit going to be a little too big a little too wild and a little too powerful for Chepe Mariscal here and eventually mariscal is going to get hit with something and go down”
$1.91
Martian MMA picks Trevor Peek VALUE
“I'm on Trevor peak in this spot uh I I have uh minus 110 which is you know a little bit worse than what the odds are out there now but um yeah just like Ozzie said mariscal's success here if he's winning the fight I think it's going to be heavily based in the grappling if this fight stays standing mariscal is probably a better technical Striker but I mean Peak is bigger he's the much more natural 155 or the guy clearly hits hard even though his striking uh technique is whack the guy finds a way to land bombs and when he does guys go down so um if mariscal is winning he's going to have to come out and just shoot non-stop takedowns and he could do that but if you watch his career uh the guy kind of enjoys brawling he kind of Embraces uh High variance fights and he does pretty well in them but he does well on them against 135 or 145ers and I just think that a peak is a little bit going to be a little too big a little too wild and a little too powerful for Chepe Mariscal here and eventually mariscal is going to get hit with something and go down”
$1.91
PR
Premium-Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“if I was to bet this fight I'm gonna go Mars call”
Premium-Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“if I was to bet this fight I'm gonna go Mars call”
AS
AnyAction SportsCast picks Chepe Mariscal
“give me Trevor Peek Peek to win via knockout in the first round”
AnyAction SportsCast picks Chepe Mariscal
“give me Trevor Peek Peek to win via knockout in the first round”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I like mariscal at 8K though”
Mayo Media Network picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I like mariscal at 8K though”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“Chepe Mariscal is going to stand in bang he's got look for that knockout”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“Chepe Mariscal is going to stand in bang he's got look for that knockout”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mariscal17-6
L
Sabatini
Nov '25
W
Ramos
Mar '25
W
Jackson
Aug '24
W
Charrière
Apr '24
W
Jenkins
Sep '23
Peek9-3
L
Ashmouz
Sep '24
L
Campbell
Apr '24
W
Yahya
Oct '23
L
Mariscal
Jun '23
W
Gonzalez
Feb '23