MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria
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IT JE Topuria vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight MB AR Barber vs RibasMain Card · Women'S Flyweight AL JT Lane vs TafaMain Card · Heavyweight DO GS Onama vs SantosMain Card · Featherweight BA BS Allen vs SilvaMain Card · Middleweight NM PR Magny vs RowePreliminary Card · Welterweight RB WT Brown vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Welterweight MR LR Rębecki vs RadzhabovPreliminary Card · Catchweight TR GR Ricci vs RobertsonPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ZZ Van vs ZhumagulovPreliminary Card · Flyweight CM TP Mariscal vs PeekPreliminary Card · Lightweight JJ JE Jenkins vs EmmersPreliminary Card · Featherweight SD CB Dumas vs BrundagePreliminary Card · Middleweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lane v Tafa Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus27 picks · conf 51/99
Lane 15
12 Tafa
EJWTUU pick Lane
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lane 13-7 VS 7-5 Tafa
6'6" height 6'0"
205 lb weight 266 lb
80" reach 74"
38 age 32
Orthodox stance Southpaw
2.5 strikes landed / min 5.4
50% striking accuracy 59%
2.4 strikes absorbed / min 2.3
40% striking defence 55%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
30% takedown accuracy 43%
0% takedown defence 52%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Justin Tafa VALUE “Justin Justin Tafa is going to be the pick”
HP Heavy P picks Austen Lane “Austen Lane fighting with a lot of emotion top of cold-blooded Maycee Barber”
WP WTL (Where's The Line?) Sports Betting Podcast picks Austen Lane VALUE “I am taking Austen Lane on the money line is a perfectly fine option” $2.50
HY Hypecheck picks Justin Tafa “I got to back taffa” $1.54
WP We Want Picks picks Justin Tafa VALUE “I like Justin Tafa minus 180” $1.56
AD Addicted2Combat picks Justin Tafa “most confident fighter is Ilia Topuria Randy Brown tetsuro Tyra Neil Magny Trevor Peak Gabriel Santos Justin Tafa Amanda hebas Jamall Emmers Brendan Allen zalgas Zuma gulaf Loik Radzhabov Cody Brundage and least confident pick is Jillian Robertson”
LP Little Cutie Podcast picks Justin Tafa “I got Justin Tafa fat boy fight Austin Lane ah taked off on that one”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Justin Tafa VALUE “I think this is a tougha taffa knockout pretty pretty quickly here”
PR Premium-Picks picks Austen Lane VALUE “the value is almost back on tatsuru so uh I'm passing but I can't wait for that fight” $1.40
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Justin Tafa “I think it's probably Justin Tafa getting that first round knockout”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Austen Lane VALUE “if Austen Lane comes in here with the game plan of taking down taffa he could go out there and put up a massive score”
EB ESPN BET picks Austen Lane VALUE “I think tapa should win this fight” $1.57
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lane13-7
L Baraniewski KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Petrino Submission · R1 Jul '25
L Pinto KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Despaigne Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
Tafa7-5
L Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Williams Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Lane KO/TKO · R1 Sep '23
W Porter KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
W Hunsucker KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21