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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Sabatini v Almeida Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
Sabatini 23
21 Almeida
TTAJSL pick Sabatini
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sabatini 21-5 VS 15-5 Almeida
5'8" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 71"
35 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
1.9 strikes landed / min 4.1
59% striking accuracy 62%
1.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
48% striking defence 50%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
44% takedown accuracy 50%
50% takedown defence 72%
2.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Lucas Almeida “certainly um Lucas Almeida is live and will both of these sides are going to be really really good on EVENT_DETAILS”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I'm going with Pat Pat Sabatini here to wrestle his way to a win” $1.50
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I expect him to land takedowns in Mass Pat Sabatini lands 3.75 takedowns per 15 minutes”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “pick and Pat Sabatini for the win”
FM Flash Out Media picks Pat Sabatini “I got to go Pat Pat Sabatini on this one by just getting into the ground and just being able to wrestle and control”
HY Hypecheck picks Lucas Almeida VALUE “I'm taking the shot on the underdog” $2.48
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Lucas Almeida “Lucas Almeida takes on Pat Sabatini”
TH TheMacLife picks Pat Sabatini “next we're in the featherweight division Lucas Almeida takes on Pat Sabatini”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Lucas Almeida VALUE “I'm gonna go with Lucas Almeida Lucas Almeida Almeida”
WP We Want Picks picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I think Pat Sabatini wins this fight and even a decision win the guy is a grapple heavy guy scoring over a hundred points even in decision wins” $92.00
MN Mayo Media Network picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I do slightly lean towards sabatini” $1.57
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Lucas Almeida VALUE “I'll take the underdog and Almeda”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sabatini21-5
W Gomis Decision · R3 May '26
W Mariscal Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Brito Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Pearce Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Lopes KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
Almeida15-5
L Aswell KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
L Silva Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Cuamba Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Fili KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Sabatini Submission · R2 Jun '23