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Petrosyan vs DuncanMain Card · Middleweight
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Sabatini vs AlmeidaMain Card · Featherweight
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Torres vs MottaMain Card · Lightweight
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Dalby vs SalikhovMain Card · Welterweight
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Costa vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Kyung-ho vs QuiñonezPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Hernandez vs BondarPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hernandez v Bondar
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hernandez 10-5
VS
14-5 Bondar
5'8"
height
5'6"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
67"
reach
69"
32
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.9
strikes landed / min
4.6
45%
striking accuracy
50%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
50%
striking defence
56%
1.6
takedowns / 15 min
4.0
21%
takedown accuracy
58%
67%
takedown defence
62%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'm leaning towards the underdog here and Carlos Hernandez coffee's flowing great this morning”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I'm leaning towards the underdog here and Carlos Hernandez coffee's flowing great this morning”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Denys Bondar VALUE
“I've been picking Denys Denys Bondar to win the fight against Carlos Hernandez Hernandez... ultimately though I am going to call it decision win for Denys Denys Bondar”
$1.78
MMA EXPERTS picks Denys Bondar VALUE
“I've been picking Denys Denys Bondar to win the fight against Carlos Hernandez Hernandez... ultimately though I am going to call it decision win for Denys Denys Bondar”
$1.78
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Carlos Hernandez
“Carlos Carlos Hernandez taking on Denys Denys Bondar Carlos Hernandez is a plus 115 Underdog”
$2.15
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Carlos Hernandez
“Carlos Carlos Hernandez taking on Denys Denys Bondar Carlos Hernandez is a plus 115 Underdog”
$2.15
DS
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Denys Bondar VALUE
“dennisponder should come in here and potentially just dominate with his grappling and he should be able to win a decision against Carlos Carlos Hernandez”
$1.80
DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Denys Bondar VALUE
“dennisponder should come in here and potentially just dominate with his grappling and he should be able to win a decision against Carlos Carlos Hernandez”
$1.80
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Denys Bondar VALUE
“I think Nicholas Moda is a super live dog in this fight”
$2.50
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Denys Bondar VALUE
“I think Nicholas Moda is a super live dog in this fight”
$2.50
PR
Pub Sports Radio picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I pulled the trigger on Carlos Hernandez Carlos Hernandez Hernandez”
Pub Sports Radio picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“I pulled the trigger on Carlos Hernandez Carlos Hernandez Hernandez”
FM
Flash Out Media picks Denys Bondar
“I gotta go with Denys Bondar getting the job done”
Flash Out Media picks Denys Bondar
“I gotta go with Denys Bondar getting the job done”
FM
Flash Out Media picks Carlos Hernandez
“I'll go with Carlos Hernandez by decision I see him being the better Striker and being able to stuff some takedowns to keep it on his feet”
Flash Out Media picks Carlos Hernandez
“I'll go with Carlos Hernandez by decision I see him being the better Striker and being able to stuff some takedowns to keep it on his feet”
HY
Hypecheck picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“at the current odds I think we're getting a steal on Carlos Hernandez Hernandez”
$2.01
Hypecheck picks Carlos Hernandez VALUE
“at the current odds I think we're getting a steal on Carlos Hernandez Hernandez”
$2.01
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Denys Bondar
“Denys Bondar takes on Carlos Hernandez”
MMAWeekly.com picks Denys Bondar
“Denys Bondar takes on Carlos Hernandez”
TH
TheMacLife picks Carlos Hernandez
“up next we're in the Flyway division Denys Bondar takes on Carlos Hernandez”
TheMacLife picks Carlos Hernandez
“up next we're in the Flyway division Denys Bondar takes on Carlos Hernandez”
PP
Prime Time Picks picks Carlos Hernandez
“I'm going with Carlos Hernandez”
Prime Time Picks picks Carlos Hernandez
“I'm going with Carlos Hernandez”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hernandez10-5
L
Hyun-sung
May '25
W
Tumendemberel
Nov '24
L
Tsuruya
Jun '24
L
Taira
Dec '23
W
Bondar
Jun '23
Bondar14-5
L
Rodríguez
Feb '24
L
Hernandez
Jun '23
L
Gordon
Feb '22