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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bukauskas v Pauga Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus30 picks · conf 54/99
Bukauskas 22
8 Pauga
XPPMDM pick Bukauskas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7 VS 7-3 Pauga
6'3" height
204 lb weight
78" reach
32 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 4.5
47% striking accuracy 62%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
64% striking defence 58%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
30% takedown accuracy 7%
58% takedown defence 100%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “I think he probably can get the job done here against Zach Pogo”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Zac Pauga “Zac Zac Pauga and this one just reeks of low scoring decision win for one side or the other”
PR Pub Sports Radio picks Modestas Bukauskas “I think modestus will land the bigger sKang Kyung-hots from the outside”
FM Flash Out Media picks Modestas Bukauskas “I think Modestas Bukauskas get the decision victory over Zac Pauga uh just able to stuff takedowns and keep it where he wants it which is standing up”
HY Hypecheck picks Zac Pauga VALUE “for my money I'll be going with the underdog here and Zac Pauga” $2.48
PP Prime Time Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “I'm going with Modestas Bukauskas picauskas” $1.61
WP We Want Picks picks Zac Pauga VALUE “I think Zach pauuga is a very good Underdog to consider for your lineup because even if it is this absolute Dreadful boring Wrestle Fest Bob 74 points or anything that resembles that is actually pretty solid for a 7 200 fighter” $73.00
WP We Want Picks picks Zac Pauga VALUE “I think he can win this fight the exact same way he won his last fight just hold modestus Modestas Bukauskas against the cage” $2.62
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “ultimately I'm seeing Bukowski's sort of out pointing his way to a decision in this one I think bukowskis gets it done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “I'm picking modestis Modestas Bukauskas to be able to outstrike Zac Pauga” $1.54
MR MMA RAX picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “I think the values actually on powga” $2.58
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Modestas Bukauskas “so if I'm not touching him he's a he's a big dog big dog for a reason I think he gets starched here um at some point in this fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W Edwards Decision · R3 May '26
L Krylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
W Craig KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Cuțelaba Decision · R3 May '25
W Cerqueira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
Pauga7-3
L Guskov KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
L Bukauskas Decision · R3 Jun '23
W Wright Decision · R3 Feb '23
L Usman KO/TKO · R2 Aug '22