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UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Costa v Flick Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
Costa 29
6 Flick
XPAJMS pick Costa
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Costa 15-5 VS 17-8 Flick
5'4" height 5'7"
125 lb weight 126 lb
67" reach 68"
30 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 1.9
48% striking accuracy 50%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
62% striking defence 43%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
54% takedown accuracy 21%
69% takedown defence 0%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 4.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Jimmy Flick VALUE “I will be picking Costa to win”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Jimmy Flick “Jimmy Jimmy Flick Alessandro Costa minus 280 Jimmy flick Plus 240” $3.40
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “I think Costa wins this fight no matter where it goes”
FM Flash Out Media picks Alessandro Costa “I think he ultimately gets the TKO or KO finish on this one”
HY Hypecheck picks Jimmy Flick “flick is the underdog at plus 195” $2.95
HY Hypecheck picks Alessandro Costa “I'll side with Alessandro Costa in this one” $1.39
PP Prime Time Picks picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “I'm picking Alessandro Costa Costa”
WP We Want Picks picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “I think Alexander Alessandro Costa gets it done and gets it done inside the distance” $95.00
WP We Want Picks picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “Alessandro Costa minus 280 probably the best value on the card I think he blows through Jimmy Flick” $1.36
LF Liam Picks Fights picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “I'm gonna go with Justice by decision here”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “Alessandro cost is going to be my pick”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alessandro Costa VALUE “I gotta go with Alessandro Costa I think he's dangerous with his hands” $1.41
Recent form last five, most recent first
Costa15-5
W Schnell KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Nicoll KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Coria KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Borjas KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Erceg Decision · R3 Nov '23
Flick17-8
L Schnell Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Maness Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Gordon Submission · R2 Jan '24
L Costa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Johnson KO/TKO · R1 Jan '23