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Mayes vs ArlovskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Caceres vs PinedaMain Card · Featherweight
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Miller vs ButlerMain Card · Lightweight
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Elliott vs AltamiranoMain Card · Flyweight
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Silva vs SouzaMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
ES
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Santos vs NurmagomedovMain Card · Welterweight
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Santos vs Muñoz Jr.Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Mayes vs ArlovskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Castañeda vs GafurovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Naimov vs MullarkeyPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mayes v Arlovski
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mayes 11-7
VS
34-24 Arlovski
6'6"
height
6'3"
260 lb
weight
245 lb
81"
reach
77"
34
age
47
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
3.8
43%
striking accuracy
45%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
46%
striking defence
57%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
38%
takedown accuracy
35%
58%
takedown defence
76%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Don'Tale Mayes
“I'm going arlovsky... I think he gets it done by a decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski
“I'm not going to have Andrei Arlovski in my lineup even though I do think he wins this fight”
CL
Clenbat picks Don'Tale Mayes
“we might see the big decline of Andrei Arlovski he's fighting someone at dantal mace who is in his prime and has insane power”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Andrei Arlovski
“I gotta go to lovsky here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski
“the pick to make is gonna be the dinosaur on drazlovsky”
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“Downtown maze baby nap time”
WP
We Want Picks picks Don'Tale Mayes
“I do think Andre lovese is going to win this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Andrei Arlovski
“give me arlovsky just because I think he's actually okay”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Andrei Arlovski
“I'm sliding with him over Dontel maze”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mayes11-7
L
Petersen
May '25
L
Walker
Feb '25
L
Gaziev
Aug '24
W
Machado
Apr '24
L
Nascimento
Nov '23
Arlovski34-24
L
Buday
Jun '24
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '24
L
Mayes
Jun '23
L
Lima
Oct '22
W
Collier
Apr '22