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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mayes v Arlovski Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus12 picks · conf 32/99
Mayes 3
9 Arlovski
CFS pick Mayes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mayes 11-7 VS 34-24 Arlovski
6'6" height 6'3"
260 lb weight 245 lb
81" reach 77"
34 age 47
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 3.8
43% striking accuracy 45%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
46% striking defence 57%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
38% takedown accuracy 35%
58% takedown defence 76%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Don'Tale Mayes “I'm going arlovsky... I think he gets it done by a decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE “I'm picking the pit bull Andrei Arlovski” $2.20
WP We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski “I'm not going to have Andrei Arlovski in my lineup even though I do think he wins this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Andrei Arlovski “I am picking Andrei Arlovski in this fight” $2.19
CL Clenbat picks Don'Tale Mayes “we might see the big decline of Andrei Arlovski he's fighting someone at dantal mace who is in his prime and has insane power”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Andrei Arlovski “I gotta go to lovsky here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski “the pick to make is gonna be the dinosaur on drazlovsky”
WP We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE “Downtown maze baby nap time”
WP We Want Picks picks Don'Tale Mayes “I do think Andre lovese is going to win this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE “I'm going arlovsky give me give me the OG” $2.20
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Andrei Arlovski “give me arlovsky just because I think he's actually okay”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Andrei Arlovski “I'm sliding with him over Dontel maze”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mayes11-7
L Petersen Decision · R3 May '25
L Walker Submission · R1 Feb '25
L Gaziev Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Machado Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Nascimento Decision · R3 Nov '23
Arlovski34-24
L Buday Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Mayes KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Lima Submission · R1 Oct '22
W Collier Decision · R3 Apr '22