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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Blackshear v Lacerda Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Blackshear 3
7 Lacerda
MCW pick Blackshear
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Blackshear 15-7-1 VS 13-3 Lacerda
5'10" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 136 lb
72" reach 72"
31 age 33
Switch stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 5.2
47% striking accuracy 48%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
49% striking defence 49%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.4
37% takedown accuracy 57%
68% takedown defence 58%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I think Luan Lacerda gets it done likely by a decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Luan Lacerda “my pick has been Luan Luan Lacerda to win the fight” $1.68
WP We Want Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I do like them on Blackshear in this fight I think he can work hard he's a durable guy he can defend takedown he's got dangerous hands slick as well on the ground”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Luan Lacerda “I do think he's gonna win this fight probably a decision though” $1.67
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Luan Lacerda “I'm gonna side with Luanda Luan Lacerda the Brazilian to bounce back from the EVENT_DETAILS debut and get a nice win against them on Da'Mon Blackshear that's my pick”
WP We Want Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I think Damon's gonna win this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Luan Lacerda “I absolutely have viserada in this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I'm gonna go with the Saturday to win this thing” $2.28
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I'll take Luan Lacerda Serra to win this fight by decision”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Luan Lacerda “I am going to go over asserta”
SY Super Sodiq Yusuff picks Luan Lacerda VALUE “I'm going with Luan Lacerda”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I will side with lacerda here” $1.71
Recent form last five, most recent first
Blackshear15-7-1
L Grant Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Heili Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Gibson Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Stamann Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Jackson KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
Lacerda13-3
L Sosa Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Oliveira Submission · R2 Oct '25
L Blackshear KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Stamann Decision · R3 Jan '23