MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Sandhagen v Vera Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
Sandhagen 15
4 Vera
MT1USS pick Sandhagen
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sandhagen 18-6 VS 23-11-1 Vera
5'11" height 5'8"
134 lb weight 136 lb
70" reach 70"
34 age 33
Switch stance Switch
3.9 strikes landed / min 4.9
53% striking accuracy 46%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
52% striking defence 52%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
66% takedown accuracy 69%
83% takedown defence 66%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I'm picking Marlon Marlon Vera Marlon Vera” $2.50
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I do like Marlon Vera a little bit more I'd say just because of the price”
WP We Want Picks picks Cory Sandhagen VALUE “I think Corey sandhagen wins this fight but pick your side the winner of this fight is going to score very very well pick your side I think Cory Sandhagen has that weird style that's going to give Marlon Vera a little bit of trouble”
WP We Want Picks picks Cory Sandhagen VALUE “Cory Sandhagen 107 and a half that's going to be a more Marlon Vera is one of the most hittable guys in the division Corey saying and sandhagen has insane volume”
KU Kunath picks Marlon Vera “I think that he wins this fight and he probably finishes Corey sandhagen”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I'm picking Marlon Vera to win” $2.50
MJ MMA JOEY picks Cory Sandhagen VALUE “I'm pretty confident that San Hagan gets the job done by decision”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Marlon Vera VALUE “I think Marlon Vera is going to be landing on sanhagen”
SH Sherdog.com picks Cory Sandhagen “I'm going for Cory Sandhagen uh he's minus one uh five seven” $1.64
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Cory Sandhagen “I'm going with uh Corey Cory Sandhagen although I I will say uh Marlon Marlon Vera he's got the the power and the ability to finish I just don't think he has the skill set to win uh round after round” $1.57
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Cory Sandhagen VALUE $1.59
PR Premium-Picks picks Cory Sandhagen VALUE “I like Corey Cory Sandhagen Sandhagen to out points him here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sandhagen18-6
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Oct '25
W Figueiredo KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Nurmagomedov Decision · R5 Aug '24
W Font Decision · R5 Aug '23
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '23
Vera23-11-1
L Martínez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Aug '24
L O'Malley Decision · R5 Mar '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Aug '23