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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Alexander v Peterson Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Alexander 4
6 Peterson
UTPS pick Alexander
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Alexander 8-4 VS 19-11 Peterson
5'11" height 5'10"
145 lb weight 146 lb
73" reach 70"
30 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 4.8
55% striking accuracy 40%
1.8 strikes absorbed / min 5.9
71% striking defence 53%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
0% takedown accuracy 26%
57% takedown defence 64%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I think Lucas Alexander can win this fight and I think 7 500 is a phenomenal price point for somebody as dangerous as him”
PR Premium-Picks picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I'm going to take a chance on Lucas Alexander”
PR Premium-Picks picks Steven Peterson “Steven Steven Peterson like you said durable as hell”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I'm gonna side with the underdog the Brazilian Lucas Alexander Alexander”
WP We Want Picks picks Steven Peterson VALUE “Stephen Peterson is a minus 160 favorite and he is one of the toughest guys”
TF The ICE Files picks Lucas Alexander VALUE “I'm gonna go with Stephen Peterson on that one”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Steven Peterson VALUE “Eileen Peterson on this one”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Steven Peterson “I'm riding with the Stephen Peterson side here”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Steven Peterson “give me Stephen Peterson here” $1.57
AM Artem MMA picks Steven Peterson “I do really like Steven Peterson in this matchup he definitely should be able to beat Lucas Alexander”
CL Clenbat picks Steven Peterson “I'm gonna go with Steven Peterson to win this fight that is my official prediction”
WP We Want Picks picks Steven Peterson “Stephen Peterson's my pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Alexander8-4
L Grad KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25
L Saragih KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Peterson Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Brito Submission · R1 Oct '22
Peterson19-11
L Alexander Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Erosa Decision · R3 Feb '22
W Hooper Decision · R3 Jun '21
W Bravo KO/TKO · R2 Sep '19
L Caceres Decision · R3 Jul '19