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UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Duraev v Njokuani Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Duraev 7
4 Njokuani
HUSTDK pick Duraev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Duraev 16-5 VS 25-11 Njokuani
5'11" height 6'3"
186 lb weight 171 lb
75" reach 80"
37 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 4.6
40% striking accuracy 63%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
59% striking defence 56%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
29% takedown accuracy 0%
66% takedown defence 74%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Albert Duraev VALUE “I like cheating here quite a bit 8800 I think he has knocked out upside”
WP We Want Picks picks Albert Duraev VALUE “frankly he's probably the better play here depending what your lineup looks like because you know I think it might look something like this he may get a takedown he may get two takedowns and just hang out hang out hang out and ride out”
KU Kunath picks Albert Duraev VALUE “I think that Albert Duraev can absolutely win this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chidi Njokuani VALUE “I'm picking up to win” $1.67
SH Sherdog.com picks Albert Duraev VALUE “I think I just go over chili straight up”
PR Premium-Picks picks Chidi Njokuani VALUE “I think he lights them up on the feet”
HB Half The Battle picks Albert Duraev VALUE “I'm taking a stance here man I I think that Manila cap is one of these guys... I have to not only pick Manel cap but I have to bet him too” $1.59
HB Half The Battle picks Chidi Njokuani “pure pick I'm gonna go with Nate I think he's slightly had more experience” $1.68
CD Cappers Direct picks Chidi Njokuani “I favorite Chidi Njokuani a favorite Chidi Njokuani pretty heavily so you're going to”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Albert Duraev VALUE “my prediction is the underdog derive to win this matchup”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Chidi Njokuani VALUE “I got Chidi Njokuani bang bang bro”
WP We Want Picks picks Albert Duraev VALUE “I gotta go with Manuel here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Duraev16-5
L Jun-yong Submission · R2 Jul '23
W Njokuani Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
W Kopylov Decision · R3 Oct '21
Njokuani25-11
L Leal Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Matthews Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Santos KO/TKO · R2 Mar '25
W Gooden Decision · R3 Oct '24
W McKee Decision · R3 Mar '24