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Doo-ho vs NelsonMain Card · Featherweight
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Fugitt vs KinoshitaMain Card · Welterweight
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Jubli vs SaragihPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Jeong-yeong vs ZhaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Nakamura vs KazamaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Spivac v Lewis
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Spivac 17-6
VS
29-13 Lewis
6'3"
height
6'3"
251 lb
weight
265 lb
78"
reach
79"
31
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
2.5
49%
striking accuracy
50%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
50%
striking defence
40%
4.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
65%
takedown accuracy
26%
70%
takedown defence
52%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I like Serghei Spivac Spivac the more here as well”
We Want Picks picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I like Serghei Spivac Spivac the more here as well”
KU
Kunath picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I personally think that Serghei Spivac is going to be able to take him down a couple times finish him”
Kunath picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I personally think that Serghei Spivac is going to be able to take him down a couple times finish him”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Serghei Spivac
“I'm still going with uh Serghei Spivac”
101MMA Clinic picks Serghei Spivac
“I'm still going with uh Serghei Spivac”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“that's why I picked Derrick Lewis and and I'm expecting him to win”
101MMA Clinic picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“that's why I picked Derrick Lewis and and I'm expecting him to win”
CL
Clenbat picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I don't think you should be betting on a Derrick Lewis fight Derrick Lewis Serghei Spivac they're fighting”
Clenbat picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I don't think you should be betting on a Derrick Lewis fight Derrick Lewis Serghei Spivac they're fighting”
CL
Clenbat picks Derrick Lewis
“if you're considering putting a bet on Derrick Lewis I would advise against it”
Clenbat picks Derrick Lewis
“if you're considering putting a bet on Derrick Lewis I would advise against it”
HB
Half The Battle picks Serghei Spivac
“I'm gonna pick Serghei Spivac just because of the youth and the momentum but it's not a confident pick”
$2.90
Half The Battle picks Serghei Spivac
“I'm gonna pick Serghei Spivac just because of the youth and the momentum but it's not a confident pick”
$2.90
CD
Cappers Direct picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis is the one who asked for this fight... Derrick Lewis can't in his mind he can't equate that in his mind it doesn't make sense in his mind he still to this day this fight haunts him”
Cappers Direct picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“Derrick Lewis is the one who asked for this fight... Derrick Lewis can't in his mind he can't equate that in his mind it doesn't make sense in his mind he still to this day this fight haunts him”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I do lean Serghei Serghei Spivac to win the fight”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“I do lean Serghei Serghei Spivac to win the fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“I'm going to have a ton of this Main Event um and I'm probably going to be pretty much probably close to 100 owners because if Derrick Derrick Lewis Derrick Lewis does win it's going to be a knockout”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Derrick Lewis VALUE
“I'm going to have a ton of this Main Event um and I'm probably going to be pretty much probably close to 100 owners because if Derrick Derrick Lewis Derrick Lewis does win it's going to be a knockout”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Derrick Lewis
“this might be a a good opportunity for Derrick Lewis to get a win back on his record”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Derrick Lewis
“this might be a a good opportunity for Derrick Lewis to get a win back on his record”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Spivac17-6
W
Delija
Feb '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jun '25
L
Almeida
Jan '25
W
Tybura
Aug '24
L
Gane
Sep '23
Lewis29-13
L
Hokit
Jun '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '26
W
Teixeira
Jul '25
W
Nascimento
May '24
L
Almeida
Nov '23