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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Nakamura v Kazama Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Nakamura 7
0 Kazama
HBADWW pick Nakamura
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nakamura 9-0 VS 11-4 Kazama
5'7" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 69"
31 age 29
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 1.7
54% striking accuracy 53%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
67% striking defence 42%
3.7 takedowns / 15 min 1.7
90% takedown accuracy 12%
100% takedown defence 66%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I like Rinya Nakamura I absolutely think he gets it done” $94.00
BM Bedtime MMA picks Rinya Nakamura “I am gonna pick Rinya Nakamura to win this fight”
HB Half The Battle picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I think he's gonna walk through Toshiomi Kazama” $1.24
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I'm going to be heavily invested in Rinya Nakamura this this card 9300”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Toshiomi Kazama “if Toshiomi Kazama does get the fight down to the mad he has a really good Grappler just hard to see him doing that”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “we do have renya Rinya Nakamura Nakamura to win the fight” $1.22
WP We Want Picks picks Rinya Nakamura “he is my pick in this fight” $1.29
AM Artem MMA picks Rinya Nakamura “you've just got to go with jig on Kim” $1.38
AM Artem MMA picks Rinya Nakamura “you've got to go with Rinya Nakamura” $1.22
WB WeeklyMMA Breakdowns picks Rinya Nakamura VALUE “I'm pretty sure renya Rinya Nakamura is gonna get it done”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nakamura9-0
W Fletcher KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Gafurov Decision · R3 Jan '25
W Vera Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Garcia Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Kazama KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Kazama11-4
L Smith KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
W Grigoriou Submission · R2 Aug '24
L Armfield KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
L Nakamura KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23