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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Fugitt v Kinoshita Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Fugitt 4
2 Kinoshita
1DKW pick Fugitt
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fugitt 10-5 VS 6-3 Kinoshita
6'1" height 6'0"
171 lb weight 170 lb
77" reach 71"
37 age 25
Southpaw stance Southpaw
4.7 strikes landed / min 4.7
45% striking accuracy 50%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.1
51% striking defence 51%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
29% takedown accuracy 0%
50% takedown defence 50%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Adam Fugitt VALUE “I think he can win this fight” $72.00
WP We Want Picks picks Adam Fugitt VALUE “I think Adam Fugitt Adam Fugitt Fugittt wins”
KU Kunath picks Adam Fugitt VALUE “barbecue chicken alert”
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Yusaku Kinoshita “I'm I'm going with the the Asian fellow again yasaku uh Yusaku Kinoshita he's basically undefeated in my opinion” $1.31
1C 101MMA Clinic picks Adam Fugitt VALUE “I'm gonna go I'm gonna go with the Adam Fugitt Fugitt like uh interesting” $3.65
HB Half The Battle picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE “he's gonna knock this guy out viciously so I played Japanese Conor straight up at -280” $1.36
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Yusaku Kinoshita VALUE “kinoshita probably does finish Adam Fugitt or Adam Fugitt Fugitt and probably early on as well”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Adam Fugitt “I personally think he probably does get knocked out”
WP We Want Picks picks Yusaku Kinoshita “I'm Yusaku Kinoshita all the way in this matchup”
WP We Want Picks picks Adam Fugitt VALUE “Foo gets the pick” $3.50
AM Artem MMA picks Yusaku Kinoshita “give me Yusaku Kinoshita” $1.40
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fugitt10-5
L Miller KO/TKO · R1 Jan '26
L Dulatov KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Quinlan Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Malott Submission · R2 Jun '23
W Kinoshita KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Kinoshita6-3
L Goff KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
L Fugitt KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23