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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pennington v Vieira
Women'S Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pennington 16-10
VS
16-5 Vieira
5'7"
height
5'8"
135 lb
weight
136 lb
67"
reach
68"
37
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.1
strikes landed / min
5.3
49%
striking accuracy
48%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.1
61%
striking defence
49%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
27%
takedown accuracy
65%
62%
takedown defence
74%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“I'm on Raquel Pennington I think she gets this one done by decision”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“I'm on Raquel Pennington I think she gets this one done by decision”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Ketlen Vieira VALUE
“I like Caitlin Vieira guys she's been my pick all week I think that she's gonna beat Rocky Pennington”
$1.85
MMA EXPERTS picks Ketlen Vieira VALUE
“I like Caitlin Vieira guys she's been my pick all week I think that she's gonna beat Rocky Pennington”
$1.85
WP
We Want Picks picks Raquel Pennington
“I do think ketlyn wins”
We Want Picks picks Raquel Pennington
“I do think ketlyn wins”
KU
Kunath picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“I think Raquel Pennington could end up winning this fight”
Kunath picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“I think Raquel Pennington could end up winning this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ketlen Vieira VALUE
“I do think she has wrestling upside three-round decision wrestling upside or early first round finish upside as well for that reason I will be having some Ketlen Vieira”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ketlen Vieira VALUE
“I do think she has wrestling upside three-round decision wrestling upside or early first round finish upside as well for that reason I will be having some Ketlen Vieira”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Raquel Pennington
“give me raqua Pennington to win this fight by unanimous decision”
Greedo Plays picks Raquel Pennington
“give me raqua Pennington to win this fight by unanimous decision”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“give me the dog money all day on Isaac dogarian here so our Guetta let me see let me see his loss is to Damon Jackson and Lester Ricky tricios on the show um that Ricky turcio's fight was the most telling thing to me because you've got uh a wrestler who could not take terceros down really um and Tricia says not a great wrestler he's scrambling he's a good jujitsu guy but not a wrestler yeah and he Argueta doesn't know how to cage Russell he knows how to wrestle wrestle but even that I dug through and tried to find his like high school wrestling took forth in Illinois was never a state champion or anything Russell that uh I think UW Lacrosse or something I forget exactly where but was never like a high-level College wrestler or anything which whatever um he's his striking is not great but he'll swing he's tough um the Targaryen I can't even say that I sound silly saying yeah yeah I feel like I should like have like especially some dude from Kansas City yeah like Bulgarian uh so dalgarian uh the house of dalgarian he is a two-time Kansas state champ which isn't bad it's not is that a good state in the pantheon probably not it's not a bad seat in the pantheon it's not like a world beater but it's definitely decent um and then and then uh is it Missouri or Kansas I forget where he's from it might it's one of those two Missouri or Kansas I forget that's notable difference I think is very probably a lot better yeah definitely better but anyway so uh two-time state champ but then he was also a uh as a freshman took second and D2 or D3 I think his school was D2 um and then I couldn't really find much after that but he was in I mean he was a much better College wrestler he was a very good college wrestler uh there's not a lot of tape on them every every single one of his fights are the same he's 5-0 moves a little bit grabs him blast doubles him picks him up but what we know about our Guetta is I don't like a lot of the stuff he does what we know about uh House of dalgarian is that he does the stuff that we've seen well the only issue here so I I love dalgarian here I love dogarian the only issue don't go so so crazy is how does he handle the adrenaline and the gas of being in the UFC for the first time we haven't seen him past a couple of minutes of fighting and so can our Guetta push him and then does he gas them is it like that's the only thing here I think I liked Algerian I mean a guy who's wrestled at that high of a level you would assume will do all of the right stuff he's not being signed short notice to UFC they signed him I think in February yeah they went to the uh looking for a fight thing and they signed them and only one guy was supposed to get a contract and he ended up getting it so yeah and so he's taking his time I feel like he's doing all the right stuff he's at glory with James Crouse so I don't know what that situation is like what his training situation is like since James is may or may not be you know coaching people right now so that's a question mark but other than that I like jalgarian especially at dog money so the only the only problem I have with Isaac is we just don't know how good he is I mean if you look at based on who he's fought you look at all his fights his Pro fights you know he's fighting in fac which is uh I don't want to say like fixed fights but they're they're all but fixed like it's just basically the uh the glory Fighters show up and go collect a w right so that's his level of competition these guys are being brought in for him to look good but you can only beat who's in front of you and he's beating them the way that he should be yeah it'd be one thing if he was beating those people in the second round third round going to decision it's like two minutes in done well for example Mike Breeden fought in uh in glory and went to a decision with 40 year old Nick Compton so yeah okay so you know there we go this is where we're at”
Santino DeFranco picks Raquel Pennington VALUE
“give me the dog money all day on Isaac dogarian here so our Guetta let me see let me see his loss is to Damon Jackson and Lester Ricky tricios on the show um that Ricky turcio's fight was the most telling thing to me because you've got uh a wrestler who could not take terceros down really um and Tricia says not a great wrestler he's scrambling he's a good jujitsu guy but not a wrestler yeah and he Argueta doesn't know how to cage Russell he knows how to wrestle wrestle but even that I dug through and tried to find his like high school wrestling took forth in Illinois was never a state champion or anything Russell that uh I think UW Lacrosse or something I forget exactly where but was never like a high-level College wrestler or anything which whatever um he's his striking is not great but he'll swing he's tough um the Targaryen I can't even say that I sound silly saying yeah yeah I feel like I should like have like especially some dude from Kansas City yeah like Bulgarian uh so dalgarian uh the house of dalgarian he is a two-time Kansas state champ which isn't bad it's not is that a good state in the pantheon probably not it's not a bad seat in the pantheon it's not like a world beater but it's definitely decent um and then and then uh is it Missouri or Kansas I forget where he's from it might it's one of those two Missouri or Kansas I forget that's notable difference I think is very probably a lot better yeah definitely better but anyway so uh two-time state champ but then he was also a uh as a freshman took second and D2 or D3 I think his school was D2 um and then I couldn't really find much after that but he was in I mean he was a much better College wrestler he was a very good college wrestler uh there's not a lot of tape on them every every single one of his fights are the same he's 5-0 moves a little bit grabs him blast doubles him picks him up but what we know about our Guetta is I don't like a lot of the stuff he does what we know about uh House of dalgarian is that he does the stuff that we've seen well the only issue here so I I love dalgarian here I love dogarian the only issue don't go so so crazy is how does he handle the adrenaline and the gas of being in the UFC for the first time we haven't seen him past a couple of minutes of fighting and so can our Guetta push him and then does he gas them is it like that's the only thing here I think I liked Algerian I mean a guy who's wrestled at that high of a level you would assume will do all of the right stuff he's not being signed short notice to UFC they signed him I think in February yeah they went to the uh looking for a fight thing and they signed them and only one guy was supposed to get a contract and he ended up getting it so yeah and so he's taking his time I feel like he's doing all the right stuff he's at glory with James Crouse so I don't know what that situation is like what his training situation is like since James is may or may not be you know coaching people right now so that's a question mark but other than that I like jalgarian especially at dog money so the only the only problem I have with Isaac is we just don't know how good he is I mean if you look at based on who he's fought you look at all his fights his Pro fights you know he's fighting in fac which is uh I don't want to say like fixed fights but they're they're all but fixed like it's just basically the uh the glory Fighters show up and go collect a w right so that's his level of competition these guys are being brought in for him to look good but you can only beat who's in front of you and he's beating them the way that he should be yeah it'd be one thing if he was beating those people in the second round third round going to decision it's like two minutes in done well for example Mike Breeden fought in uh in glory and went to a decision with 40 year old Nick Compton so yeah okay so you know there we go this is where we're at”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Raquel Pennington
“I'm on the other side of you on the first fight of the night my friend first fight of the Year too”
$2.90
MMA EXPERTS picks Raquel Pennington
“I'm on the other side of you on the first fight of the night my friend first fight of the Year too”
$2.90
AM
Artem MMA picks Ketlen Vieira
“I'm going with Caitlin Vieira here”
Artem MMA picks Ketlen Vieira
“I'm going with Caitlin Vieira here”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ketlen Vieira
“I gotta go with Ketlen Vieira man I mean she looks good she bet Holly Holm Last Time by decision”
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Ketlen Vieira
“I gotta go with Ketlen Vieira man I mean she looks good she bet Holly Holm Last Time by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pennington16-10
L
Peña
Oct '24
W
Silva
Jan '24
W
Vieira
Jan '23
W
Ladd
Apr '22
W
Chiasson
Dec '21
Vieira16-5
W
Cavalcanti
May '26
L
Dumont
Nov '25
W
Chiasson
May '25
L
Harrison
Oct '24
W
Kianzad
Jul '23