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Nurmagomedov vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight
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Rębecki vs FiorePreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rębecki v Fiore
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rębecki 20-4
VS
6-2 Fiore
5'7"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
154 lb
66"
reach
72"
33
age
28
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
2.8
48%
striking accuracy
46%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
7.9
54%
striking defence
42%
3.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
75%
takedown accuracy
45%
45%
takedown defence
71%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Nick Fiore
“the pick's been Rebecca all week I think he's gonna control on the ground”
$1.14
MMA EXPERTS picks Nick Fiore
“the pick's been Rebecca all week I think he's gonna control on the ground”
$1.14
WP
We Want Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“Mateusz Rębecki should absolutely smoke fiori”
We Want Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“Mateusz Rębecki should absolutely smoke fiori”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“Nick Fiore is Big Underdog sorry uh against minus 800 Mateusz Rębecki”
$1.12
Sherdog.com picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“Nick Fiore is Big Underdog sorry uh against minus 800 Mateusz Rębecki”
$1.12
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I do expect him to get this done and probably get it done early he's the most expensive guy in the card and I'm going to have a lot of verbetsky there”
$1.14
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“I do expect him to get this done and probably get it done early he's the most expensive guy in the card and I'm going to have a lot of verbetsky there”
$1.14
GP
Greedo Plays picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm gonna take matteus from Becky to win this fight by first round knockout”
Greedo Plays picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm gonna take matteus from Becky to win this fight by first round knockout”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“basharat is scary bro basharat fights really well down the gun”
$1.29
MMA EXPERTS picks Mateusz Rębecki VALUE
“basharat is scary bro basharat fights really well down the gun”
$1.29
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm going with Mateusz Rębecki I mean this guy is a monster his last fight he didn't throw a single punch not a punch he just continued to throw this guy to the ground”
$1.18
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm going with Mateusz Rębecki I mean this guy is a monster his last fight he didn't throw a single punch not a punch he just continued to throw this guy to the ground”
$1.18
WP
We Want Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm going with Mateusz Rębecki in this man”
We Want Picks picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm going with Mateusz Rębecki in this man”
TF
The ICE Files picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm gonna go with uh Mateusz Rębecki Mateusz Rębeckiz Rębecki on this one I think just the experience back there”
$1.14
The ICE Files picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm gonna go with uh Mateusz Rębecki Mateusz Rębeckiz Rębecki on this one I think just the experience back there”
$1.14
GP
Greedo Plays picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm gonna take matteus from Becky to win this fight by first round knockout against Nick Fiore”
Greedo Plays picks Mateusz Rębecki
“I'm gonna take matteus from Becky to win this fight by first round knockout against Nick Fiore”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Mateusz Rębecki
“my prediction for this matchup I've got a side with Rebecca I think his jujitsu's better he's got more experience and that's why I'm making that pick Rebecca wins this match up potentially submits Nick Fioree even though Nick's got good Jujitsu”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Mateusz Rębecki
“my prediction for this matchup I've got a side with Rebecca I think his jujitsu's better he's got more experience and that's why I'm making that pick Rebecca wins this match up potentially submits Nick Fioree even though Nick's got good Jujitsu”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rębecki20-4
L
Dawson
May '26
L
Klein
Oct '25
L
Duncan
Aug '25
W
Orolbai
Oct '24
L
Ferreira
May '24
Fiore6-2
L
Hooper
May '23
L
Rębecki
Jan '23