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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nascimento v Hernández
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nascimento 22-7
VS
10-4 Hernández
5'8"
height
—
126 lb
weight
—
70"
reach
—
34
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.9
37%
striking accuracy
45%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
57%
striking defence
50%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.6
42%
takedown accuracy
21%
75%
takedown defence
67%
0.5
submissions / 15 min
0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Allan Nascimento
“I think nasamento wins”
We Want Picks picks Allan Nascimento
“I think nasamento wins”
KU
Kunath picks Allan Nascimento
“picks Allan Nascimento”
Kunath picks Allan Nascimento
“picks Allan Nascimento”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Allan Nascimento
“I'm going to take Allah naciamento to beat Carlos Hernández I think he'll become 2-1 in the EVENT_DETAILS with a decision Victory”
Greedo Plays picks Allan Nascimento
“I'm going to take Allah naciamento to beat Carlos Hernández I think he'll become 2-1 in the EVENT_DETAILS with a decision Victory”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Allan Nascimento
“I think NASA Mentor is gonna win this kind of handedly I don't know that he's going to be able to finish him just because Carlos Hernández is really tough but I think nasamento is I think Carlos Hernández is going to make it a much closer fight than it should be because he doesn't take those risks and I think if he does try to take risks and try and win I think NASA Mentor will finish him but the the just the style of Carlos Hernández I think is going to be hard to finish but I think nasamento is gonna kind of drowned in Maul Carlos Hernández here”
Santino DeFranco picks Allan Nascimento
“I think NASA Mentor is gonna win this kind of handedly I don't know that he's going to be able to finish him just because Carlos Hernández is really tough but I think nasamento is I think Carlos Hernández is going to make it a much closer fight than it should be because he doesn't take those risks and I think if he does try to take risks and try and win I think NASA Mentor will finish him but the the just the style of Carlos Hernández I think is going to be hard to finish but I think nasamento is gonna kind of drowned in Maul Carlos Hernández here”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Allan Nascimento
“I'm gonna go out and assimento to get this one done he's a submissioner this he has 13 submissions”
$1.24
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Allan Nascimento
“I'm gonna go out and assimento to get this one done he's a submissioner this he has 13 submissions”
$1.24
WP
We Want Picks picks Allan Nascimento VALUE
“I'm going now cement to win this match”
We Want Picks picks Allan Nascimento VALUE
“I'm going now cement to win this match”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Allan Nascimento
“I gotta go with Allan Nascimento here the lines clearly why you don't want to bet NASA Mento at minus 400 against really anybody but I feel like stylistically you should be able to get this fight down to the man and I'll say decision for nasamento”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Allan Nascimento
“I gotta go with Allan Nascimento here the lines clearly why you don't want to bet NASA Mento at minus 400 against really anybody but I feel like stylistically you should be able to get this fight down to the man and I'll say decision for nasamento”
TF
The ICE Files picks Allan Nascimento
“I do think Alan nashamento should run away with the decision in this one”
$1.25
The ICE Files picks Allan Nascimento
“I do think Alan nashamento should run away with the decision in this one”
$1.25
GP
Greedo Plays picks Allan Nascimento
“I'm going to take Allah naciamento to beat Carlos Hernández I think he'll become 2-1 in the UFC with a decision Victory”
Greedo Plays picks Allan Nascimento
“I'm going to take Allah naciamento to beat Carlos Hernández I think he'll become 2-1 in the UFC with a decision Victory”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Allan Nascimento
“my prediction has to be the Charlie Oliveira of the 125 Division Alan nacimento to just land beautiful body kicks land beautiful calf kicks and if this fight goes to the mat I think he's gonna submit Carlos Hernández so my pick NASA Mento to win this match up”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Allan Nascimento
“my prediction has to be the Charlie Oliveira of the 125 Division Alan nacimento to just land beautiful body kicks land beautiful calf kicks and if this fight goes to the mat I think he's gonna submit Carlos Hernández so my pick NASA Mento to win this match up”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nascimento22-7
L
Raposo
Jun '26
W
Durden
Nov '25
W
Filho
May '25
W
Hernández
Jan '23
W
Hadley
May '22
Hernández10-4
L
Nascimento
Jan '23
W
Altamirano
Feb '22