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Nurmagomedov vs BarcelosMain Card · Bantamweight
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Basharat vs MendonçaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Nurmagomedov v Barcelos
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Nurmagomedov 19-1
VS
21-5 Barcelos
5'8"
height
5'7"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
69"
reach
67"
30
age
39
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
5.2
63%
striking accuracy
51%
1.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.8
63%
striking defence
61%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
50%
takedown accuracy
32%
100%
takedown defence
85%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Umar Nurmagomedov 110 favorite I have it in one pair of lay but definitely don't advise betting this one”
$2.10
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“Umar Nurmagomedov 110 favorite I have it in one pair of lay but definitely don't advise betting this one”
$2.10
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“it's um as the official pick for sure he's gonna out wrestle barcelos for three rounds”
$1.12
MMA EXPERTS picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“it's um as the official pick for sure he's gonna out wrestle barcelos for three rounds”
$1.12
WP
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think Umar wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I think Umar wins this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Umar demaga metoff although this is a step up I think he's ready for this um I think a lot of people are of the opinion that he will fight for a championship one day and I'm one of those people and I think yes it's a it's a step up but I think it's a step up he does win”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I think Umar demaga metoff although this is a step up I think he's ready for this um I think a lot of people are of the opinion that he will fight for a championship one day and I'm one of those people and I think yes it's a it's a step up but I think it's a step up he does win”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“obviously I'm leaning um I think most people are he's a big time favorite here”
$1.14
Walk The Line MMA picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“obviously I'm leaning um I think most people are he's a big time favorite here”
$1.14
CD
Cappers Direct picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I can see the pat many paths of victory for Umar Nurmagomedov but I mean minus 500 is crazy when you have someone as good as Raoni Barcelos honey barcelos is 35 years old he is slowing down”
Cappers Direct picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“I can see the pat many paths of victory for Umar Nurmagomedov but I mean minus 500 is crazy when you have someone as good as Raoni Barcelos honey barcelos is 35 years old he is slowing down”
CD
Cappers Direct picks Raoni Barcelos VALUE
“I think Raoni Barcelos is super live where I think Umar Nurmagomedov could catch him late but I just don't necessarily think that's possible ... I think Raoni Barcelos can can put some combos together to hurt Umar Nurmagomedov maybe even get him out there but man guys this is a really great fight um ah tune in on Friday”
Cappers Direct picks Raoni Barcelos VALUE
“I think Raoni Barcelos is super live where I think Umar Nurmagomedov could catch him late but I just don't necessarily think that's possible ... I think Raoni Barcelos can can put some combos together to hurt Umar Nurmagomedov maybe even get him out there but man guys this is a really great fight um ah tune in on Friday”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm gonna say normange gets this done I'll say bye decision here”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“I'm gonna say normange gets this done I'll say bye decision here”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“my predictions gonna be Umaga made of is gonna dominate Roni barcelos”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Umar Nurmagomedov
“my predictions gonna be Umaga made of is gonna dominate Roni barcelos”
WP
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“if Jon Jones fights at heavyweight I think he's going to be champ”
We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov VALUE
“if Jon Jones fights at heavyweight I think he's going to be champ”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Nurmagomedov19-1
W
Figueiredo
Jan '26
W
Bautista
Oct '25
L
Dvalishvili
Jan '25
W
Sandhagen
Aug '24
W
Almakhan
Mar '24
Barcelos21-5
W
Jackson
Apr '26
W
Simón
Nov '25
W
Garbrandt
Jun '25
W
Talbott
Jan '25
W
Quiñonez
Feb '24