MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Griffin v Means Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Griffin 7
3 Means
H1TMUA pick Griffin
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Griffin 20-12 VS 33-17-1 Means
5'11" height 6'2"
170 lb weight 171 lb
76" reach 75"
40 age 42
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 5.0
49% striking accuracy 49%
3.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.6
57% striking defence 60%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.1
41% takedown accuracy 40%
68% takedown defence 64%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Tim Means VALUE “I'm sticking with Tim Means for this one”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Max Griffin “I think Max Griffin's boxing is basically going to be the difference”
HB Half The Battle picks Max Griffin “so for that reason I'm a pickaxe Max Griffin”
1M 138 MMA picks Max Griffin “the Pick is Max Griffin”
WP We Want Picks picks Tim Means VALUE “Marcos is the pick”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Max Griffin VALUE “I'm picking Max Griffin to win a decision” $1.53
TF The ICE Files picks Tim Means “if I were to pick a winner to be honest I sort of like Tim Means in this one”
WP We Want Picks picks Tim Means “I gotta go with the dirty bird Tim Means to get it done once again against Max Griffin”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Max Griffin “I'm going Max Griffin”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Max Griffin VALUE “give me Max Griffin to win this fight” $1.54
WP We Want Picks picks Max Griffin VALUE “I do think Max wins this fight and I think he's more dangerous in this fight but Tim could absolutely March forward pour on the volume”
AM Artem MMA picks Max Griffin “I've got to go Max Griffin”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Griffin20-12
L Valenzuela Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Chiesa Submission · R3 Dec '24
W Wells Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Morales Decision · R3 Jul '23
Means33-17-1
L McGee Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Medić KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
W Fialho KO/TKO · R3 Sep '23
L Morono Submission · R2 May '23
L Griffin Decision · R3 Oct '22