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UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
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AA CK Allen vs KattarMain Card · Featherweight MG TM Griffin vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight WC JV Cortes-Acosta vs VanderaaMain Card · Heavyweight TG JF Gore vs FremdMain Card · Middleweight KJ DJ Rountree Jr. vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight RD PH Dolidze vs HawesPreliminary Card · Middleweight ML AA Lima vs ArlovskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JP JH Park vs HolmesPreliminary Card · Middleweight SG CH Garcia vs HooperPreliminary Card · Featherweight CD CM Durden vs MotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight CR JW Rodriguez vs WeemsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Cortes-Acosta v Vanderaa Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Cortes-Acosta 6
0 Vanderaa
H1TUTW pick Cortes-Acosta
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cortes-Acosta 17-2 VS 12-10 Vanderaa
6'4" height —
262 lb weight —
78" reach —
34 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.9 strikes landed / min 5.0
65% striking accuracy 44%
2.2 strikes absorbed / min 5.7
52% striking defence 45%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
69% takedown accuracy 50%
63% takedown defence 20%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “my pick is Acosta”
HB Half The Battle picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “pure pick is Acosta” $1.51
1M 138 MMA picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the pick”
TF The ICE Files picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “easily Waldo Cortes-Acosta should get this one done”
WP We Want Picks picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “my official pick for this fight is Waldo Cortes-Acosta”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Waldo Cortes-Acosta “I'm gonna have to go with Waldo Cortes-Acosta”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Jared Vanderaa “I'm gonna go with Park Hyun young here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cortes-Acosta17-2
L Volkov Decision · R3 May '26
W Lewis KO/TKO · R2 Jan '26
W Gaziev KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Delija KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Pavlovich Decision · R3 Aug '25
Vanderaa12-10
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Oct '22
L Sherman KO/TKO · R3 Jul '22
L Oleinik Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Arlovski Decision · R3 Feb '22
L Romanov KO/TKO · R2 Oct '21