MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Durden v Mota Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Durden 10
0 Mota
H1TMUT pick Durden
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Durden 17-10-1 VS 8-2 Mota
5'7" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 125 lb
67" reach 69"
35 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 0.8
50% striking accuracy 41%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 1.1
50% striking defence 54%
4.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
50% takedown accuracy 0%
73% takedown defence 50%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Cody Durden “Cody Durden so he won by”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm gonna side with the underdog Cody Durden”
HB Half The Battle picks Cody Durden VALUE “my pick is Cody Durden Dern” $2.45
1M 138 MMA picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm taking Cody Durden anyway”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Durden VALUE “so I'm going Cody dirt in here” $2.50
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm gonna pick him to win I'm gonna say he does it by decision” $1.59
TF The ICE Files picks Cody Durden “I'm going with Cody Durden on this one just because the experience Factor”
WP We Want Picks picks Cody Durden “my official pick is Cody Durden”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm gonna go with Cody Durden”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Cody Durden “I'm gonna have to Edge Cody Durden here”
UP UFC FIGHT PASS picks Cody Durden VALUE “I'm taking Cody Durden”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Durden17-10-1
W Filho Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Tumendemberel Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Nascimento Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ochoa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '25
L Van Decision · R3 Dec '24
Mota8-2
L Durden Decision · R3 Oct '22