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Durden vs MotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Rodriguez vs WeemsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
CK
Allen vs KattarMain Card · Featherweight
MG
TM
Griffin vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
WC
JV
Cortes-Acosta vs VanderaaMain Card · Heavyweight
TG
JF
Gore vs FremdMain Card · Middleweight
KJ
DJ
Rountree Jr. vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
RD
PH
Dolidze vs HawesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
ML
AA
Lima vs ArlovskiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
JP
JH
Park vs HolmesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
SG
CH
Garcia vs HooperPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CD
CM
Durden vs MotaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
CR
JW
Rodriguez vs WeemsPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Durden v Mota
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Durden 17-10-1
VS
8-2 Mota
5'7"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
69"
35
age
31
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
0.8
50%
striking accuracy
41%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
1.1
50%
striking defence
54%
4.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
50%
takedown accuracy
0%
73%
takedown defence
50%
0.9
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Cody Durden
“Cody Durden so he won by”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm gonna side with the underdog Cody Durden”
1M
138 MMA picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm taking Cody Durden anyway”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm gonna pick him to win I'm gonna say he does it by decision”
$1.59
TF
The ICE Files picks Cody Durden
“I'm going with Cody Durden on this one just because the experience Factor”
WP
We Want Picks picks Cody Durden
“my official pick is Cody Durden”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Cody Durden”
WM
Walk The Line MMA picks Cody Durden
“I'm gonna have to Edge Cody Durden here”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Cody Durden VALUE
“I'm taking Cody Durden”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Durden17-10-1
W
Filho
Apr '26
L
Tumendemberel
Mar '26
L
Nascimento
Nov '25
L
Ochoa
Jun '25
L
Van
Dec '24
Mota8-2
L
Durden
Oct '22