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UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Rogério de Lima v Arlovski Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Rogério de Lima 4
3 Arlovski
HTAF pick Rogério de Lima
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rogério de Lima 22-10-1 VS 34-24 Arlovski
— height 6'3"
— weight 245 lb
— reach 77"
41 age 47
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.7 strikes landed / min 3.8
57% striking accuracy 45%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
51% striking defence 57%
1.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
45% takedown accuracy 35%
59% takedown defence 76%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski “I'm on the rogerio side because I'm never gonna put my money on a 43 year old heavyweight” $11.00
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “I'm gonna go with Miracles Rodrigo Marcos Rogério de Lima Rogério de Lima on this one”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE “I'd advise the underdog I'd advise Andrei Andrei Arlovski”
HB Half The Battle picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “I'm gonna go with de Lima” $1.44
1M 138 MMA picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE “I'm taking Andrei Arlovski here”
WP We Want Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “my official pick if I have to pick is Marcos Rogério de Lima”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “I'm gonna go with Marcos Rogério de Lima here”
WP We Want Picks picks Marcos Rogério de Lima VALUE “Marcos is going to be the pick here but the thing that worries me the absolute most in this matchup is andreolovsky's 20 years of experience”
AM Artem MMA picks Marcos Rogério de Lima “I might actually end up picking records regiro and elima”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rogério de Lima22-10-1
W Tafa KO/TKO · R2 Feb '24
L Lewis KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Arlovski Submission · R1 Oct '22
L Ivanov Decision · R3 May '22
Arlovski34-24
L Buday Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Mayes KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Lima Submission · R1 Oct '22
W Collier Decision · R3 Apr '22