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Martinez vs DavisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Martinez v Davis
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Martinez 0-0
VS
14-10 Davis
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
—
age
36
—
stance
Orthodox
—
strikes landed / min
4.7
—
striking accuracy
35%
—
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
—
striking defence
58%
—
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
—
takedown accuracy
42%
—
takedown defence
57%
—
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Brandon Davis VALUE
“I'm rolling with Mano Martinez to get the one in this one”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Brandon Davis VALUE
“now that you're saying that now I want to pick Brandon Davis”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Brandon Davis VALUE
“I say he takes his neck with a gilly specifically plus 190 money line win by submission for Brandon Davis”
$2.90
WP
We Want Picks picks Brandon Davis VALUE
“Cub Swanson is the lock of the week for UFC Vegas 62”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Leomana Martinez
“I'm gonna decide with Leomana Martinez to win this matchup”
1M
138 MMA picks Brandon Davis
“I'm going to pick Brandon roival”
1M
138 MMA picks Leomana Martinez
“I'm gonna take Leomana Martinez in this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Leomana Martinez VALUE
“Amanda Martinez is the pick”
HB
Half The Battle picks Leomana Martinez VALUE
“I'm gonna bet Leomana Martinez Martinez in this fight and I'll let you know why so I think Brandon Davis Davis is a very tough guy I think that he's a very respectable journeyman who you know had a tough fight with Giga chikaze actually looked good in moments against us as a beat even and you know we've given a lot of guys even in fights he's lost he's giving them tough ass fights but I think that we need to make a distinction here do you remember how I talk about this kid Jordan Wright how at 185 pounds and that 170 pounds he's two completely different guys at 185 pounds this kid Jordan Wright knocked out RoboCop had a gritty tooth and nail lore with um what's the name of the French sniper Nassar Dean imavov right yeah but but then he drops to 170 he can't even take a punch you know what I'm saying two different guys in two different weight classes and I think to a lesser extreme version Brandon Davis Davis falls under that category man Brandon Davis Davis has been dropped or rocked in every single fight he's had at bantamweight the Randy costify he was getting [__] kicked for at least you know five plus minutes in that fight just getting wobbled all over the place I was at that fight it was in Atlanta Georgia same night that Dustin fought Max saying not that Izzy fought Kelvin like I was there I was like God damn and I like Brandon Davis Davis very cool guy you know he's actually originally I think from Georgia uh he comes by this area every once in a while I like him a lot but just keeping it real at bantamweight he's been hurt every single fight so the Randy Costa fight that's the first example the fight against kyung ho Kang he got dropped in the first round in that fight the next fight against uh Dana bad Gary I mean he got blown out the water and to take it a step further now he's aging a little bit not not that he's that old I think he's only 33 but more so that the wars are catching up to him you know and now he's got a torn ACL in that fight he's wearing this this knee brace now he's had the surgery and he's dropping back to 135 again where I just think is not optimal for Brandon Davis Davis can you make the way yes the guy runs allegedly runs 20 miles every day I definitely think he can make the way it's just can he truly be at his optimal self at bantamweight and I just don't think he can I like his game calf kicks you know decent Striker you know experience like I like Brandon Davis Davis I just think that here on the opposite side you got this kid Amanda Martinez who's young 25 26 years old and he hasn't even scratched the surface of his potential if you watch this guy's Regional fights if you want to see some brutal vicious Knockouts you watch Leomana Martinez Martinez as Regional fights and they're not just against bums he's knocked out two guys on the Regionals that are currently in the EVENT_DETAILS remember that guy uh Ricky turcios that pissed us all off that last fight man and Martinez one punch knocked him out you remember uh Jose Johnson is that his last name yeah Jose Johnson who just just got a contract on Contender series Leomana Martinez knocked him out in under a minute and they're Brew they're brutal out cold knockouts so he comes into the EVENT_DETAILS and you know the guido kinetify I'd say it was a bit of an underwhelming performance for Leomana Martinez standards but if you put context into it the week before his longtime coach died the kid misses wait by five pounds it's a short notice opportunity like I mean when your coach and your Mentor dies like a week before the fight and you still take the fight and you miss Way by five pounds like clearly he's not at 100 and we didn't see the Leomana Martinez we saw in the regionals but let me tell you something there were glimpses there some of those punches and bunches some of those takedown attempts I'm like yo give this kid a little bit more seasoning a little bit more experience and he's gonna show you something in one of these fights like you remember the kid uh ziam that I bet on that last fight he had against fig lack like ziam had a little bit of a slow start to his EVENT_DETAILS career too but I said just give this guy a little bit more time he's young these young kids need seasoning they need experience and I think now Amanda Martinez has paid those dudes had that tough fight with Guido which I thought I think you can make an argument for Leomana Martinez winning that three nothing before you can make an argument for Guido winning that two to one and the reason I say that is because it was a split decision which I thought was ridiculous I thought Leomana Martinez clearly won the second and third if not the first as well and then the next fight against Ronnie Ronnie's got that style I love where Ronnie you know he's gonna attempt 14 takedowns in a fight but usually when you when you're on the receiving end of that many takedowns you're going to be huffing and puffing you're going to be gassed out and it's Leomana Martinez that last two knockdowns in that third round which goes to show this guy is not just a hard hitter this guy's not some front runner this guy's actually got serious heart on his Contender series fight where he got choked out he didn't tap he went to sleep so I think this guy's got the heart of a lion and should this fight go the three round distance I think it's gonna be Leomana Martinez who's digging deeper I think it's going to be him who's still there in the second and the third round putting it on the vet Brandon Davis Davis but honestly with what I really think is gonna happen here is I think Leomana Martinez is going to show what I've seen for a long time on those Regional fights and I think he comes out here and gets his first EVENT_DETAILS knockout against Davis who has consistently been getting rocked in all of his bantamweight fights and I think that Trend continues here we add another knockout loss after Dana backery now in ACL surgery I'm not liking what I'm seeing and not to mention even when Brandon Davis Davis was you know in his prime at his best he was still losing the majority of the EVENT_DETAILS fights he was in so I got Leomana Martinez via brutal devastating vicious knockout here I think he's this is going to be his breakout performance I think after this people are gonna be like oh so we got a new Prospect in the bantamweight Division and uh I'm gonna bet him straight at the minus 145 minus 150 you know I'm gonna wait a little bit see what the best line I can get is and I'm gonna pounce all over it”
$1.67
BB
Bussin' With The Boys picks Leomana Martinez VALUE
“I'm taking NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 minus two on an easy dub if they've been playing the way that they've been playing recently this is an easy dub”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Martinez0-0
L
Saaiman
Mar '23
W
Davis
Oct '22
L
Lawrence
Feb '22
Davis14-10
L
Martinez
Oct '22
L
Batgerel
Oct '21
L
Chikadze
Sep '19
L
Kyung-ho
Aug '19
W
Costa
Apr '19