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UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araújo
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Taira v Vergara Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Taira 6
5 Vergara
1TGATF pick Taira
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Taira 18-1 VS 12-6-1 Vergara
5'7" height 5'6"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 68"
26 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.0 strikes landed / min 5.1
60% striking accuracy 56%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
46% striking defence 53%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
44% takedown accuracy 0%
45% takedown defence 60%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MP MMA Prophecy picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “my pick is going to be C.J. Vergara vogoro to get a shock win”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Tatsuro Taira “C.J. Vergara [Applause] and Tatsuro Taira I don't know C.J. Vergara's staring him right back C.J. Vergara's looking right back at him I don't know C.J. Vergara looks pretty good oh buddy if if this guy was like seven and oh or eight no then maybe but C.J. Vergara Burgers a ten and three C.J. Vergara just has the UFC experience and I like to back that they probably have the same amount of experience of the USC buddy I think they both have two fights each well C.J. Vergara has looked a little bit better you know tattooed his last fight and he's 22. we'll see if he can put it together and stay undefeated but I just don't think it's gonna happen I just have a weird feeling I got tat zero just to win weird feeling I don't think it's gonna happen I might go see Jay but uh stay posted on Instagram all of my final predictions up tomorrow I think I'm I think I'm going to C.J. Vergara honestly I might go C.J. Vergara look more into it great division”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “give me C.J. Vergara 700 as a punt play if he's able to keep this standing”
WP We Want Picks picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “I like CJ Vergara as just an absolute animal”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “I'm gonna side with CJ in this match up”
TF The ICE Files picks Tatsuro Taira VALUE “so I'm picking Tatsuro Tairaro Taira on this one”
AM Artem MMA picks Tatsuro Taira “I've got to pick Tatsuro Taira in this match up”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Tatsuro Taira “I'm gonna be going with Tatsuro Taira”
1M 138 MMA picks Tatsuro Taira “I do take tayar in this fight”
GP Greedo Plays picks Tatsuro Taira “I'm gonna take Tatsuro Taira to win his second fight in the UFC and proving to 2-0 with a decision victory over C.J. Vergara”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “we're going with C.J. Vergara to get the upset” $3.05
Recent form last five, most recent first
Taira18-1
L Van KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Moreno KO/TKO · R2 Dec '25
W Hyun-sung Submission · R2 Aug '25
L Royval Decision · R5 Oct '24
W Perez KO/TKO · R2 Jun '24
Vergara12-6-1
L Cháirez Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Temirov KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Almabayev Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Salvador Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Mar '23