UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DM
Daniel Marcos
v Aori Qileng
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Daniel Marcos
v Aori Qileng
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“the final probability gives Daniel Daniel Marcos a 63% chance of winning the models in simulations Project Daniel Marcos as the likely Victor possibly utilizing his grappling advantage to control a Quang and mitigate his striking proficiency based on the detailed statistics and model predictions it seems probable that this fight May Go the Distance with Daniel Marcos leveraging his takedown and grappling skills to secure the decision Victory”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.50
→
now$1.43
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
ZP
Zac Pauga
v Bogdan Guskov
MONEYLINE
LOST
Zac Pauga
v Bogdan Guskov
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the final prediction gives Zack Zac Pauga a 63% chance of winning the analysis heavily favors Zac Pauga striking skills and suggests that his ability to land the significant strikes with Precision will be key goff's path to Victory seems narrow needing to exploit any potential weaknesses in pga's game with Zac Pauga striking advantage and Bogdan Guskov's lack of takedown threat this fight is likely to end with a ko/ TKO victory for Zack Zac Pauga”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.87
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MG
Max Griffin
v Jeremiah Wells
MONEYLINE
WON
Max Griffin
v Jeremiah Wells
MONEYLINE
WON
“taking everything into account the final prediction is going to go opposite of the models I'm going to lean towards Max Max Griffin with a probability of about 57% to be Jeremiah Jeremiah Wells the fight is expected to play out with Max Griffin utilizing his striking and reach to maintain control while wells will likely need to find openings for takedowns and submissions given that striking differential and Max Griffin's defensive capabilities the likely outcome could be a decision win for Max Max Griffin”
Line since pick
CLV +13%
◆ entry$2.66
→
close$2.36
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish
DC
Devin Clark
v Marcin Prachnio
MONEYLINE
LOST
Devin Clark
v Marcin Prachnio
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the prediction leaning towards Devin Clark considering Clark's more balanced skill set in Marcin Prachnio's striking prowess the fight will likely be a tactical battle however Clark's ability to defend takedowns and control the pace may lead him to a decision Victory provided he can successfully manage Prio striking offense”
Line since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.54
→
close$1.45
entry: betPARX · best in any region at publish
LL
Loma Lookboonmee
v Bruna Brasil
MONEYLINE
WON
Loma Lookboonmee
v Bruna Brasil
MONEYLINE
WON
“I calculate Loma LookboonmeeMA to have a 69% chance of winning the analysis indicates that while Bruna Brasil may have the Striking Advantage Loma Lookboonmee's Superior grappling and takedown defense are likely to dictate the fight suggesting that Loma LookboonmeeMA might secure a victory possibly through a decision leveraging her control time and ground game throughout the match”
Line since pick
CLV +4%
◆ entry$1.45
→
close$1.39
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
BO
Bolaji Oki
v Timothy Cuamba
MONEYLINE
WON
Bolaji Oki
v Timothy Cuamba
MONEYLINE
WON
“I calculate a probability of 70% in favor of Bolaji Oki the key to the fight is likely to be influenced by oki's striking ability potentially leading to a KO TKO if he can keep the fight standing however hadzic's takedown defense could be the key to weathering that storm and seeking an opportunity to exploit any gaps in oki's grappling Arsenal”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.53
→
close$1.62
CP
Carlos Prates
v Trevin Giles
MONEYLINE
WON
Carlos Prates
v Trevin Giles
MONEYLINE
WON
“I calculate a 66% chance in favor of Carlos Carlos Prates hinting at the likelihood of a victory by decision or possibly a KO TKO if you may maintains his striking advantage throughout the fight”
Line since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.42
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AP
Armen Petrosyan
v Rodolfo Vieira
MONEYLINE
LOST
Armen Petrosyan
v Rodolfo Vieira
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I calculate Armen Armen Petrosyansyan has a 54% chance of Victory the fight's outcome slightly leans towards his striking ability being the decisive Factor however vie's ground game remains a threat and it could sway the fight in his favor if he manages to close the distance I expect this to be a battle between Armen Armen Petrosyansyan's precise striking and V's aggressive grappling this will probably end with the Armen Armen Petrosyansyan victory by decision due to his defensive skills and his striking accuracy”
Line since pick
CLV +6%
◆ entry$2.18
→
close$2.05
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MJ
Michael Johnson
v Darrius Flowers
MONEYLINE
WON
Michael Johnson
v Darrius Flowers
MONEYLINE
WON
“I calculate a 56% chance of victory for Michael Johnson this prediction considers Johnson's experience and defensive skills which would nullify Darrius Flowers' striking Advantage the likely method of Victory here for Johnson could be through decision as he would capitalize on his defensive tactics and perhaps exploit moments to Counterattack making it a technical battle rather than just a straight up brawl”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.83
→
close$1.78
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
GR
Gregory Rodrigues
v Brad Tavares
MONEYLINE
WON
Gregory Rodrigues
v Brad Tavares
MONEYLINE
WON
“I calculate a 66% chance of victory for Gregory Gregory Rodrigues the analysis points towards Gregory Rodrigues leveraging his striking accuracy and takedown skills to secure his win possibly by a knockout or submission due to his higher finishing rates in both areas”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.44
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
DI
Dan Ige
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
Dan Ige
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
“the final probability I calculate is a 57% chance of victory for Dan Ige the fight is expected to Showcase Dan Ige striking against Andre Fili's grappling with Dan Ige likely to keep the fight standing and possibly securing a win through a decision after a technical striking display”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.59
→
close$1.60
entry: WynnBET · best in any region at publish